The Farmer's Weblog

Monday, March 31, 2003

SLAUGHTER IN 2002
USDA?s final slaughter numbers for 2002 were published this month.  Federally Inspected (FI) cattle slaughter in 2002 totaled 35.1 million head.  That was slightly larger (less than 1 percent) than 2001?s and about even with the previous five-year average.  FI cattle slaughter increased 350 thousand head from the year prior mainly due to increased steer and dairy cow slaughter.  Despite a modest increase in slaughter, FI beef production was 970 thousand pounds (3.8 percent) larger than 2001?s due to record heavy cattle weights. 
8:22:44 PM    comment []

CATTLE FEEDING RETURNS
After over a year of enduring cattle feeding losses, higher fed cattle prices have pulled estimated feedlot closeouts well into the black.  During 2002, LMIC estimated that cattle feeders lost about $51.00 per head on a monthly average basis.  So far this year, according to LMIC feeding estimates based on purchasing a 750-pound steer, feeders have averaged a positive return of over $58.00 per head, compared to -$78.74 for the same period last year.
8:21:24 PM    comment []

Trends . . DECLINING CATTLE WEIGHTS
Cattle dressed weights appear to be holding to the normal seasonal pattern and have recently fallen below a year earlier.  Since the week ending January 25th, cattle dressed weights have been declining, reflecting a normal seasonal pattern.  Recent declines in slaughter weights may indicate that some cattle have been ?pulled ahead? in anticipation of lower fed cattle prices. 
8:20:14 PM    comment []

Cattle on Feed
The USDA released the Cattle on Feed report on Friday and it should be friendly to cattle producers.  There were 10.52 million head of cattle on feed as of March 1, 2003. That is a decline of just over 1% from February and a 9 percent decline from March 2002 and a decline of 10 percent from March 2001.  This decrease was greater than most traders had expected.  February placements were 92% of 2002 and were lower than expectations, while February marketings were 96% of 2002 and were inline with trade expectations
8:17:14 PM    comment []

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