Guess what? Microsoft won
In his 2001 book, "Pride Before the Fall: The Trials of Bill Gates and the End of the Microsoft Era," John Heilemann wrote:
"We are already witnessing the end of Microsoft as we know it...with the dotcom boom, Redmond, Wash.-based Microsoft's position seems, if not tenuous, then increasingly peripheral. The real estate it controls, the PC desktop, remains the most valuable territory on the digital map. But, as everyone can see, with the rise of the Net, the universe of computing is expanding and exploding, while the desktop seems only to be shrinking in strategic importance."
That may have constituted the biggest rush to judgment since the Chicago Daily Tribune declared Thomas Dewey the new U.S. president in 1948...more [CNET]
The sad truth is that I agree with him -- M$ did win. The only dark clouds come from Linux, shear hubris, failed diversification, a lack of real innovation, and lawsuits. Only time will tell how this will play out but I expect to see M$ spend a lot of time in court dealing with continued problems -- the corporate DNA just can't avoid it...mj