DEBKA scenariaos:
"1. A solidarity offensive by the Hizballah, in the form of a missile and rocket barrage the length of the Lebanese-Israel frontier targeting all of northern Israel and reaching into its central heartland. The Lebanese Shiites will accompany their barrage with large-scale terrorist strikes inside Israel and possibly Jordan, the cue for a fresh round of Palestinian suicide massacres in Israel's town centers and along its highways. The Palestinian leader will order this onslaught although he knows the IDF has enough resources to punish Syria for backing the Hizballah while also keeping its tanks inside Palestinian towns in both the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
2. US-Iraq hostilities that may well open up - not with an American strike - but with Iraqi pre-emptive action against the US forces poised inside Iraq and in neighboring Jordan for the American offensive against Baghdad. Iraq may also hit US military targets in other parts of the Middle East, including Israel and the Saudi and Gulf Emirates' oil regions.
3. A mega-terror strike against the United States or Israel - with conventional, nuclear, chemical or biological weapons - that would attain such calamitous proportions as to undo America's military and political position for the Middle East.
Whatever the surface appearances, therefore, the immediate horizon seems to hold greater promise of conflict than of diplomacy."
3:44:34 PM
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