Jinn of Quality and Risk

Technological innovation will accelerate, with major progress announced and products released in medicine, wireless networking, and nanotechnology. Apple will continue to innovate with ground-breaking hardware and software aligned with iLife, their vision of the digital hub. Sales of music will shift radically towards digital downloads, including millions of free songs as part of marketing campaigns. New uses for P2P networks will appear. Weblogs will continue to grow in quantity, quality, and influence.

Evidence for (probably past) primitive life forms on Mars will be found. The X Prize will be won, possibly by Scaled Composites; this will open the doors to a massive race to privatize access to space and develop commercial applications in space (other than tourism) — which will be later known as the First Space Rush (who will make money? think transport infrastructure, supplies, and entertainment).

Further evidence will be gathered contradicting the global-warming-is-a-catastrophy-caused-by-evil-human-action environmentalist dogma; ideological NGOs will switch to other scare-scenarios, especially those involving food and water; enviro-fascist groups will focus their sights on terrorist activities.

See also the Foresight Exchange for people who go on record with their predictions and keep track of their wins and losses.