802.11 - Planet Philadelphia conference
6/11/2002 - Keynote #1 - Dennis Eaton of WECA
WECA membership is 51% North American and 40% Asia/Pacific. There's that Asia hotbed thing again.
I love this - a WECA goal is the consumer can "open the box and it just works." Wouldn't that be nice?
Significant price drop within the past 8 months and more product choices than ever.
As of Friday of last week 367 products have been WiFi certified - 40 products alone have been certified since the end of May. Hubba Hubba.
Product evolution - initially access points and PCMIA cards, now mini-PCMIA cards for laptop embedding, home gateways, dual function cards as minutarization (gads I mangled the spelling on that one). USB cards have become very popular. Print servers and compact flash cards are beginning to appear.
WiFi is becomming promiscuous. Great description.
Telco industry is becomming interested in Wi-Fi - no news there. Compliment to 3G services.
What are the opportunities that are left? WECA never imagined that the growth rate would be this rapid.
How to build a business model - how to compete with the guys who are free. Quality of Service is one way.
The big unknown is the intention of the big telcos - how are they going to tie in 802.11 with their current services and 3G.
Business model failures - Mobile Star and Ricochet (which was not based on WiFi). In my opinion, Mobile Star failed because it had a dotcom business model - capital is free, basically give the service away, build out as far as possible. Rate of return is secondary. Poor Ricochet failed because of high capital costs and proprietary technology.
Cahner's hot spot growth predictions: big explosion in US and Asia in 2003 and 2004.
A good slide on hot spot predictions - 12,000 in 2005 - 40% in coffee shops - I couldn't see the rest of the slide. Airports had a big precentage also.
A slide on the potential conflicts between SDARS (satellite based service providers such as XFM) and 802.11b. I think Glenn has this one right - WiFi (802.11b) should beat feet out of 2.4 GHz into 5 GHz (WiFi5 - 802.11a).
Interesting question about "software radio's" Software taking over the MAC layer - Dennis sees this as 2-3 years out. I personally wonder about where the market is for software radios - radios are already so cheap - why move it to software? Other than flexability between standards, etc...This one I don't get.
Someone just asked if WECA views Ultrawideband as a threat - Dennis answered no. Thinks it's a threat to Bluetooth because it's a PAN - not a distance WLAN.
Will the FCC step in to regulate WiFi? Dennis thinks it's already so widespread that the FCC will not step in. I agree - you can't stuff the Genie back into the bottle.
Dennis mentioned "smart antennas" that really boost the distance of WiFi. A definite must. Speaking of antennas, I've seen some very spiffy portable antennas that some of the geek attendees are using.
5:09:31 AM
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