Fear not the "armageddon" asteroid
Now that scientists have had a chance to look twice at asteroid 2002 NT7, they have concluded that it is not a risk to Earth, as some of us expected.
The new data was announced over the weekend and the risk summary appears at NASA and NeoDys.
Some of the key numbers to look at in those tables are the distance and width. If the distance is greater than the width, we are essentially safe. The probability for impact in 2060 is about 3 in a million. Probabilities like this are notoriously difficult to interpret in a meaningful way so let's just say that's a pretty small number.
You have to wonder how smart it is for people to blow this story up out of all proportion. Is it the fault of the original scientists who noticed there could be a close call? Perhaps the press officers at their institutions seeking publicity... Or maybe it was mentioned as a relatively minor point but the media took it and ran. In any case, it doesn't seem very responsible to announce what some people may find is frightening and disturbing when a few extra days (over a timescale of 60 years!) makes all the difference. [David Harris: Science news]
9:28:10 AM
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