Perhaps the sky isn't falling?
The Street got some good economic data today in the form of retail sales for October, as well as the Labor Dept.'s report that jobless claims dropped for the second week in a row. Reatil sales, excluding autos, were up 0.7%, far ahead of what economists anticipated.
The reaction? The October retail-sales data dispel 'the 'economy is collapsing' notion", said Ethan Harris, a co-chief economist at Lehman Brothers in New York. ..... Want more? "the Christmas season could be better than we had thought," said Sherry Cooper, a global economic strategist at BMO Financial Group in Toronto.
All sorts of economic data beyond retail, as well ... So the total picture looks like this:
* retail sales flat, but better than expected / unemployment claims down / inflation is steady / home prices continue to increase, but at a slower pace
Auto sales fell 1.9% after a 5% decline in September. Including autos, retail sales were flat in October, after a 1.3% drop in September. Inflation is steady to flat -- "Overall import prices rose 0.1% in October, down from a 0.7% gain in September, the Labor Department said."
National Association of Realtors said home prices continued to increase at a strong pace in the third quarter, though the rate of appreciation is cooling. The national median home price rose 7.2% compared with a year earlier, to $161,800. Home prices rose 7.5% in Q2 and 8.1% in Q1. NAR forecasting home-price growth of 6.6% in Q4.
The bottom-line? Detroit looks like they maxed out whatever demand existed in the market and now they'll have to deal with some reduced sales for the time-being. Home buying continues to be the engine that is driving the economy / keeping consumers feeling reasonably confident, but we're not out of the "double-dip woods" entirely ... The Lehman economist, Harris, concluded, "The economy is still feeble right now."
7:07:51 PM
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