e Radio Ideas : Empower Freedom of e-Speech through dws.Radio,FAQ education in Radio Userland: Questions; Wishes; Tips; Speculation
Updated: 12/08/2002; 12:50:20 AM.

 

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Monday, November 18, 2002

Expanding on my previous post inspired by Phil Wolff on mapping the Blogsphere, we can discuss what we think might do the job effectively, then state a series of wishes for additional standards that apply to more than one vendor for this to work, assuming they are sufficiently motivated for it to happen.  Here is link to other people comments on Phil Wolff idea.

There are a lot of sites that don't show up on the radar screens of search engines or weblog directories.  Newbies who might delay self-registration until they get more self-confidence.  Weblogs inside the intranet firewall of a business, school system, or government agency.  People on project teams can have private multi-author sites known only to each other and need password to access the content. Some Blog Software is free unregistered until get paid services, or lacks the high environment options of the leaders.  Pirates want a low profile.  Do we want to count all of this in our blogsphere map?

Some Blog Software outfits claim 750,000 customers or some such number, and we know many not registered with weblog.com.  Many can be inactive for a broad spectrum of reasons ranging from newbie got suck or hyper active ran out of disk space and continued on next installment space.  Would some Blog Software places accept an outside audit of where they get their customer count, and who would pay for such an audit?

From this we can hopefully get ratios of total customer volume vs. weblog.com radar that are reliable proportions across consistent Blog Software Types (on line, off line, publish, community, etc.).  I call this the radar ratio ... how much is out there as opposed to how much is actually on the radar screens.  I think that journalists and researchers would be highly motivated to get a handle on what that is, and might be where the funding come from for my proposed audit.

Some Blog Software is more appropriate for educators, journalists, intranets, and other non-hostile labels of WHAT AM I motivation for weblog.  On/off global radar screen probably vaies by types of such communities.

There must be at least 50 different directories of weblogs, and counting.  There needs to be a registration service where it is easier for the beginner to fill in all the info about self, that the various services desire, and say to send this to ALL the directories, or NONE of them, or SPECIFIC ones.  I am thinking of a page connected to the Prefs, in which there would be links to each of the directories basic info, so the blogger could say YES register me with THIS one also.  An important part of this is WHAT AM I in terms of categorizing type of personal interests intended for this blog, which will change over time.  We might need a variant per category. There should be some info pre-calculated here that you cannot change ... WHAT AM I in terms of what Blog Software.

I have seen posts saying this or that content focus is not a real weblogger, and the phraseology is invariably somewhat hostile.  We need to come up with non-hostile labels and definitions linked to the self-registration page such that a person who really is that type of user vision for blog usage can say YES that is what I want to be or accomplish, and check off a particular self-assessment, or NO none of these match my self-image goals, so they optionally key in text describing personal blog goals.

Different directories for different purposes do want different info, and quite probably someone filling out their page will not have enough info to get properly registered at one or more Link Service directories.  We'd want the rest of the input to get to the registration updates, leaving like an error list that you can individually click on and deal with - either cancel attempt to register with a site, or add the additional info they want.  Later some services might want more info, leading to a new error message you want to deal with at your convenience.

Now the recently updated chart in weblog.com in addition to current info would have some WHAT AM I column(s), one being abbreviated which Blog Software like RU MT with unmistakable what we talking about, and another being user vision for blog, short form of the non-hostile labels, and perhaps link to the person's registration info page link, if that individual had checked off YES to making it available here.

This serves many interests.  End users faster and more easily locate similar to self, and are inspired to update their own WHAT AM I page.  Link Service directories combine how recently updated on weblogs.com with WHAT AM I classification, for all sorts of interesting correlations.


11:14:57 AM    

[Don W Strickland: RadioFAQ] Quotes [Phil Wolff: Blue Sky Radio] asking a question to which I think I can add some answers, starting with the notion that this is worth an occasional review and I agree that there are several tools that can be added to our collection to improve the picture.  Take a look at past stories and posts that I have done of relevance.

  • Sep 30 I did a post listing some Search Engine and Link Service directories of weblogs with how many known to each ... How do they find these places?  Is it purely user registration and www.weblogger.comWeblog Compendium lists 35 directories of Weblogs  Look at Sebastien Paquet's Weblogs by Profession - How do Seb and friends locate sites to be listed?  Can we do a SWAG (Scientific Wild Ass Guestimate) what proportion of such sites actually get found to be listed like this?  Will this vary by profession?  Can we help locate additional sites that should be added?  Do weblogs appeal particularly to particular professions?  Can we estimate what percentage of the people in a profession are likely to be turned on to this hobby?
  • Link Services and Search Engine Tips include a score of places that try to keep score on what's going on in blogspace, for those bloggers who register with them.  Perhaps we need some centralized service for all this, that is similar to www.weblogger.com but we also need something to count the secret sites that do not register with weblogger.  Review my Sep 9 post about www.alexa.com because perhaps we need Link Services based on improvements to existing ones.   Do places like www.blogrolling.com have statistics on how many people are using their services?

  • I have found over 100 suppliers of Blog Software but only begun to categorize Blog Software Types.  I suspect our hypothetical census will want to know how many of each combination type are out there.  As I came across claims of how many this or that Blog Software out there, I added that to my Blog Software story.  Also see my Sep 11 link to key info on the Wired article claiming 1/2 million weblogs on the Internet, with analysis of patterns of webloggers giving up on one kind of Blog Software and starting over with another.

I might also add some questions to the survey.

  • Proportionally how many posts are never quoted by other people, how many get quoted / copied at least once, how many get multiple copied?  Of those bloggers doing quoting / copying, what proportion of copies are done with proper credit, just copied without comment, commented on by the person copying the material?
  • Which weblog software providers claim to have some number of customers, and are they willing to open that portion of their books to some kind of outside audit to validate those claims?
  • Can ISPs or Search Engines tell whether a web site is a weblog, or something else?  Can information from ISPs and Search Engines be combined to count how much volume is on various domains that is what kind of web site?

[Don W Strickland: RadioFAQ] from [Phil Wolff: Blue Sky Radio] QUOTE

We need a census of blogspace..

A friend of mine asked: how many webloggers are there? This is like "How big is the Internet?"

I searched through Nua and a dozen other internet sites and haven't seen any research on the size of the blogosphere.

I ask you:

  1. Do you have an educated guess?
  2. Do you know of any prior work in this area?
  3. Can you think of a methodology or two to create useful measures of the number of bloggers and the number of weblogs?
  4. What related questions would you want answered?
  5. How might you use this information?
  6. Pitfalls to avoid?
  7. Would you join a BlogCensus.org to provide and share stats?

My wild stabs:

  1. Do you have an educated guess?
    • Not yet.
  2. Do you know of any prior work in this area?
    • No. I've looked.
  3. Can you think of a methodology or two to create useful measures of the number of bloggers and the number of weblogs?
    • Some vendors host weblogs and have relevant stats. We could add those up.
    • We could look at download and registrations from the top 5 vendors, and add fudge factors to cover other tools and disadoption rates
  4. What related questions would you want answered?

      • LiveJournal.com, has a statistics page: (numbers as of 10 November 2002)
        • Total users: 770910
          • Users that have ever updated: 635168
          • Users updating in last 30 days: 280213
          • Users updating in last 7 days: 200543
          • Users updating in past 24 hours: 72587
        • Gender:
          • Male: 201452 (36.3%)
          • Female: 354085 (63.7%)
          • Unspecified: 131153
        • Account Type
          • Free Account: 718109 (93.2%)
          • Early Adopter: 14282 (1.9%)
          • Paid Account: 36718 (4.8%)
          • Permanent Account: 1218 (0.2%)
        • Country of origin (Mostly English-speaking)
        • US state of origin (California, New York, Florida, Michigan lead)
        • Age distribution (mode=17)
        • Client usage (90% web)
        • Activity: posts by day overall (147k posts last Wednesday) Per-person would be interesting too.
        • New accounts per day (eyeballing a chart it looks like 900-1400 new LJ users per day, averaging about 1100)
    • I'd love to know:
      • How many entries have ever been blogged? (the cumulative number of posts).
      • How many links in posts? (excluding blogrolls and navigation)
      • What blogging tool or service they're using?
      • Blog lifecycles:
        • How long to bloggers of various stripes blog?
        • How many change hosts? Change tools?
        • Why do people abandon blogging?
        • Is there a critical mass, a minimum number of posts per day/week/month that separates those that blog from those that fail?
        • Of people who take a break, how many start again?
      • Number originating within a company or operating behind a firewall
      • Connection speed (does broadband make it easier to blog?)
      • Payload distribution. How many people include pictures, sounds, flash games, or movies? How many bytes are home pages?
      • Syndication. What percentage syndicate their sites?
      • Duplication/Overlap:
        • How many blogs per person?
        • Do you post to them equally? How many are updated daily/weekly/monthly?
        • How many tools do you use?
      • What ancillary tools do you use?
        • Graphics and other media
        • News readers
        • HTML editors
        • email clients
        • blog-specific search (daypop, google)
        • blogosphere navigation (blogdex, blogtree)
  5. How might you use this information?
    1. As a blogger.
      • Always good to know where I stand in relation to the pack.
      • Trends might tip me to new capabilities
    2. As a consultant or IT leader.
      • Make better choices about deploying blogging and community tools
      • Use the "bandwagon" sell when appropriate
    3. As a blog tool maker.
      • Understand the markets I serve vs. the ones I don't 
  6. Pitfalls to avoid?
    • Hype
    • Irreproducible results
    • Bias - vendor, country
  7. Would you join an BlogCensus.org to provide and share stats?
    • As a user, with anonymity.
    • As a vendor, sure.

What say you?

[Phil Wolff: Blue Sky Radio] [Don W Strickland: RadioFAQ]
2:26:55 AM    

Weblogger Hosting Tip: If you running out of disk space for your weblog, you might check out this possibility.  One of my Southern Indiana neighbors in the world of personal web pages is www.greeblie.com (the other one that I have found so far is http://www.countermoon.com/) who is considering offering free hosting for a limited number of experienced journal-type bloggers (Dave not looking for pundits and lookie-heres).  I am now at 70% of my 40 meg and falling, and there is a lot of stuff I am not posting because I know it will accelerate my fall, but my interests are all over the map.
1:38:30 AM    

© Copyright 2002 Al Macintyre.



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