Book Reviews
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Tuesday, November 12, 2002
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Metafilter writes about Carl Sagan's Baloney Detection Kit based on the book The Demon Haunted World: Science as a candle in the dark:
The following are suggested as tools for testing arguments
and detecting fallacious or fraudulent arguments:
- Wherever possible there must be independent confirmation of
the facts
- Encourage substantive debate on the evidence by
knowledgeable proponents of all points of view.
- Arguments from authority carry little weight (in science
there are no "authorities").
- Spin more than one hypothesis - don't simply run with the
first idea that caught your fancy.
- Try not to get overly attached to a hypothesis just because
it's yours.
- Quantify, wherever possible.
- If there is a chain of argument every link in the chain must
work.
- "Occam's razor" - if there are two hypothesis that explain
the data equally well choose the simpler.
- Ask whether the hypothesis can, at least in principle, be
falsified (shown to be false by some unambiguous test). In other
words, it is testable? Can others duplicate the experiment and
get the same result?
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