Tuesday, July 15, 2003

Will Blogs Become Extinct? According to Don Park they will. Or, more precisely, they will merge with website technologies: Blogs will fade away within two years.  What we know now as blogs will not be recognized by web users of tommorrow, not as blogs, but as websites.  Website technologies and blogging technologies will converge into one.  People take it for granted that webpages can be edited using their browser.  People will also take it for granted that any webpages can be subscribed to with a single-click.  Web browsers will be changed to support all this and more like highlighting of changes. Robert Scoble disagrees: Heh. Rich Levin told me exactly the same thing three years ago. Sorry, you're off by quite a bit. They won't fade away for at least five, and maybe 10 years. You guys all give Microsoft WAY WAY WAY too much power. Yeah, we have $40 billion or so. 55,000 employees. But, many of our customers have not yet upgraded to IE6. What makes you think they are gonna upgrade to a "super dooper upgraded" Internet client within two years (assuming we had an upgrade coming this week, which we don't)? That just cracks me up! I wish evangelism was so easy. But, then, if it was, Microsoft, and Apple, and Linux wouldn't need a team of evangelists each, would they I've got no inside perspective into the computer industry. I'm just a customer. But I do know what works as a businessman when I'm looking for software or hardware to do what I want. I tend to agree with Scoble.   But that's just my opinion. I'm probably wrong. 9:43:12 PM