Outer Space: After the Space Shuttle: Archive Entry From Brad DeLong's Webjournal
http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/archives/001554.html
February 06, 2003
Outer Space: After the Space Shuttle
Outer Space
Gregory Benford tries to move us beyond the space shuttle--that strange craft that was both the most expensive (at $300 million per mission) and the least reliable (one catastrophic loss of vehicle and crew for every sixty missions) system for getting stuff and people up to near-earth-orbit ever devised. The big question that NASA never talks about is: what are we doing dinking about with humans--instead of teleoperated robots--in near earth orbit anyway? What can people do in near-earth orbit that is worth doing that unmanned remote-controlled craft cannot? It never talks about it because it is a question that has no answer.
Once we decide to go to other planets the lightspeed lag dictates that we will need to send humans out into the Great Deep. As Benford writes, the medium-term goal is "Mars. Did life arise there, and does it persist beneath the bleak surface? No robot remotely within our capability can descend down a thermal vent or drill and find an answer. Only humans are qualified to do the science necessary, on the spot." But before we start going to Mars (and the other potentially very interesting places in the solar system), we need to learn about two things:
How to make a closed biosphere work in zero gravity (as Benford writes, "the [current space] station recycles only urine... it is camping in space, not truly living there").
Second, how to make centrifugal force serve as a substitute for Terran gravity (as Benford writes, "decades of trials show clearly that zero-g is very bad for us. The Russians who set the endurance records in space have never fully recovered. Going to Mars demands that crews arrive after the half-year journey able to walk, at least. No crew returning from space after half a year ever have, even for weeks afterward. So we must get more data, between one gravity and none. Mars has 0.38 g; how will we perform there? Nobody knows. Spinning a habitat at the other end of a cable, counter-balanced by a dead mass like a missile upper stage, is the obvious first way to try intermediate gravities. The International Space Station has tried very few innovations, and certainly nothing as fruitful as a centrifugal experiment").
The shuttle and the International Space Station are not helping us. They do remarkably little science--and, as far as I can see, next to none that could not be done by unmanned missions. Like vampires, they suck NASA's entire budget dry. And so we can't even begin to work on the biosphers and the low-gravity questions.
From: Semi-Daily Journal
Brad DeLong's Thoughts of the Moment on Economics, and on Other Topics as Well
http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/archives/001554.html
See the write up by Gregory Benford
Beyond the Shuttle at the above link.
- LRK -