Here's a really nice essay by Stuart, where he's reacted to the current debate fueled by the article in Wired - Futurism is Dead.
His views (definitely worth reading the full post) :
"Who would have predicted that futurists would evolve into a scrappy dialogue? In a field where differences are embraced, curiosity, concepts and ideas will be part of the social nature of futurism. While futures, scenarios and strategic foresight has received it share of criticism, it's from those seeking answers rather than better questions. The future is inherently unpredictable. Insight drives the things we do differently. Instead of selling the future, the sale should be made on "curiosity" and "wonder". Only a real pessimist takes the future too seriously. The optimists on the other hand perhaps make too light of the challenge and only speak of those that already seem obvious. Those in the middle are left to do the real work that can harness people, collective intelligence, collaborative methods, and emergent networks, or they can sit on the fence and be castigated.
While I liked Alex's history and I understand the anger from WFS, is it also possible everyone here is looking in the wrong place? Two lessons I learned during my time at GBN and prior to GBN included seeking out "Remarkable People", and the importance of delivering on "Change". Scenarios, future plans, dreams and concepts are nothing if they fail to enthuse the hearts and minds of participants. Organizations that are more adaptive, more in tune with their environment are more likely to live another day. For my two cents it is all about making better decisions today. That require "context". Without context -- the today-- too many projects are just fishing expeditions"
He goes on to talk about the internet and blogging too. As living networks inherent within which are concepts of connectivity and flow. In the context of a collaborative and collective environment. Where asking better questions, and probing more can be more effective than seeking readymade answers and predicting solutions.
This is our today - and our future breathes through it. I think sometimes adults struggle with these concepts and debates - while kids really are the ones creating the contexts for their futures. They're networked and connected, and i'd like to add curious. Always seeking new ways and more often than not, tending to be early adopters.
And there is wonder in that !
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Copyright 2005 Dina Mehta