| Contents |
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| Preface |
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| I |
Overview: Returning Deficits and the Need for Fiscal Reform |
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Martin Mühleisen |
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The Fiscal Deficit: Back to Square One |
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Costs and Consequences of Tax Cuts and Deficits |
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Long-Run Insolvency of Social Security and Medicare |
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The Policy Challenge |
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State and Federal Fiscal Relations |
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Concluding Remarks |
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References |
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| II |
The Economic Impact of U.S. Budget Policies |
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Roberto Cardarelli and Ayhan Kose |
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Simulations of the FY2004 Budget Proposal |
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Fiscal Deficits and Real Interest Rates |
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International Implications of Higher U.S. Public Debt |
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References |
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| III |
Social Security, Medicare, and U.S. Fiscal Prospects |
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Paula De Masi, Iryna Ivaschenko, and Christopher Towe |
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Fiscal Consequences of Social Security and Medicare |
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The President's Social Security Reform Commission |
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Medicare Reform |
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Concluding Remarks |
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References |
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| IV |
Long-Run U.S. Fiscal Imbalance: An Intergenerational Analysis |
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Roberto Cardarelli and Christopher Towe |
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Constructing Intergenerational Fiscal Accounts |
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Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Sustainability |
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Conclusions |
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References |
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| V |
U.S. Energy Policy: The Role of Taxation |
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Jim Prust and Dominique Simard |
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Energy Use in the United States |
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Energy Policy |
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Taxation and Other Instruments to Reduce Energy Consumption |
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Macroeconomic Effects of Energy Taxation |
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References |
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| VI |
The Budget Enforcement Act And Options for Reform |
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Michael Kell |
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Background |
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Assessing the BEA Rules |
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Options for Reform |
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Conclusion |
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References |
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| VII |
Will the State and Local Budget Crisis Hinder Economic Growth? |
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Iryna Ivaschenko |
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State and Local Government Finances |
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Recent Developments in State and Local Government Finances |
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Balanced Budget Rules and Fiscal Adjustment |
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How Much of a Drag on Growth? |
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References |