Friday, September 03, 2004

Hurricane Frances Update 030800L At 8:00 AM EDT, category three hurricane Frances over Eleuthra Island in the Bahamas (260miles east-southeast of Florida). Maximum sustained winds are being held ad 125 mph and minimum central pressure has risen to 957 millibars.  Huricane Frances Adivsory Number 38A Frances is clearly weakining.  Upper level winds continue to be unfavorable to Frances.  The changes in her structure due to them will make it difficult for her to reintensify.  The intensity forecast  (1 knot = 1.15 statute miles) defies some of their models and has Frances reintensifying before landfall.  Hurricane Frances Discussion Number 38 I've Atmospheric Dynamics at 11, so the next update from me will be at 12.  The next forecast discussion should be an interesting read. While we wait, here is an article about the FSU superensemble that I've mentioned a few times in previous posts. Hurricane center takes cues from FSU (Tallahassee Democrat) Florida State, Jackpotzrebie comment []8:21:30 AM   trackback []