Wednesday, June 29, 2005

Some Florida politics on Red State and the new Quinnipiac poll

A Qunnipiac poll released today forms the basis for Eric C's article Harris should drop out.

Also worth of mention is Peer Review's diary The Case for Jeb! in 2008 Part I.

This Quinnipiac poll is the first from them to offer a Nelson v Harris matchup.  In it, Harris loses 50-38. 

The poll also offers Speaker Allan Bense as a possible opponent against Harris and Nelson.  It has Harris beating him 54-10 and Nelson beathing him 55-26.  I mostly agree with the reasoning in the Red State article that this is because of a lack of name recognition on Bense's part.  If the Bush fundraising and campaign machine were to fall behind him, he would rise up as Mel Martinez did (at least through the primary). 

I won't say anymore about the Senate race here as most everything else would be a rehash of my A Challenge for Katherine Harris? story.

In the Governor's race, the poll doesn't offer any head-head numbers, but is interesting because it is the first poll since the  financial woes of the Florida Democratic Party came out (although the story is still rolling, putting yet more head on gubenatorial candidate Scott Maddox, the previous head of the FDP). 

Among Republicans, it has Charlie Crist leading Tom Gallagher 43-31.  Among Democrats, it has Jim Davis leading Scott Maddox 24-16 (the poll in April had Davis over Maddox 26-22).  Interestingly, the number of undecided Democrats has risen from 35% to 48%. 

Politics comment []11:04:50 AM   trackback [] 

  Wednesday, June 22, 2005

Mason-Dixon polls for Florida's 2006 races

In the past few days Mason-Dixon has released polls on the U.S. Senate Race and the Governor's race.

Mason Dixon poll conducted June 14-16 2005 - U.S. Senate Race (PDF)

This paints a much worse picture for Harris' prospects than a Strategic Vision poll released a few days ago, (which showed Harris -6 to Nelson). The poll indicates Harris having a seventeen point deficit versus Nelso state-wide; on a regional basis her smallest gap is seven (Gulf Coast) and her biggest is 31 (South Florida). It shows Harris' favorable/unfavorable rating as 32/30 compared to Nelson's 44/10.

Unlike the Strategic Vision polls, it does not offer other Republican candidates as possible opponents.

Things are happier in the Governor's poll.

Mason-Dixon Florida Poll conducted June 14-16 - Governor (PDF)

On the Republican side both Charlie Crist and Tom Gallagher have favorable name recognition (41/8 and 33/8 respectively) with only 20% saying they do not recognize their names. On the Democratic side, 59% do not recognize Tom Davis' name, 69% do not recognize Scott Maddox' name, and 75% are unfamiliar with Rod Smith.

In the Democratic race, Davis leads Maddox 23% to 12% with 61% undecided.

In the Republican race, Crist leads Gallagher 43%-24%.

In matchups against the Democrats front-runner Davis, Crist leads Davis 41-28 and Gallagher leads Davis 38-29.

Politics comment []3:55:02 PM   trackback [] 

  Friday, June 17, 2005

A challenge to Katherine Harris?

Posted in my diary are some ramblings on the prospects of Republican challenges to Katherine Harris' bid for U.S. Senate.

Politics comment []4:15:00 PM   trackback [] 

  Wednesday, March 02, 2005

Tillie Fowler, RIP

Former U.S. Rep Tillie Fowler dies of brain hemmorhage (AP)

Former U.S. Rep. Tillie Fowler, who became prominent on defense issues during her four terms in Congress, died Wednesday, two days after suffering a brain hemorrhage. She was 62.


Gov. Jeb Bush called Fowler "a great Floridian and committed public service. Congresswoman Fowler was a great leader and was dedicated to making the lives of Floridians better. She will be missed."

Fowler was first elected to the House of Representatives in 1992, campaigning on an "eight is enough" term-limits pledge. She declined to seek re-election in 2000 despite being the most powerful woman in Congress. She was vice chairwoman of the House Republican Conference, placing her fifth in the GOP hierarchy.

She was a friend of the military and one of the few Representatives who take their term-limits pledge seriously.  Indeed, she will be missed.

Politics comment []12:55:10 PM   trackback [] 

  Tuesday, March 01, 2005

Early exit from 2006 Governor's race

Lawton "Bud" Chiles III quits governor's race (Tallahassee Democrat)

Lawton "Bud" Chiles III quit the 2006 governor's race today, citing a provision in the state constitution that requires a gubernatorial candidate to live in the state for the seven years before an election.

A recent Quinnipac poll had him as the choice of 29% of Florida Democrats (behind only Betty Castor).

Politics comment []5:20:54 PM   trackback [] 

Schwarzenegger tops Cato Institute's Fiscal Policy Report Card

From the Cato Institute:

Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger earned the highest score on the Cato Institute’s seventh biennial fiscal policy report card released today. The report card grades 42 governors on 15 objective fiscal measures, and shows that states that keep tax rates low and restrain spending growth have the best economic performance and long term fiscal health.

Jeb Bush had the third highest score of the 'senior class' (Governor's innaugurated before January 2003, who are a graded on a seperate basis from the 'freshman' innaugurated after).

The co-author of the report, Steven Slivinski, received his bachelor's degree from Florida State.  While here he was the director of the Institute for Conservative Studies and was involved in other such mischief.

Politics comment []3:17:33 PM   trackback [] 

  Monday, October 18, 2004

Long Day

So, in the past eighteen hours I have:

1.  Rallied for Bush-Cheney at John Edward's rally at Florida A&M University.

2.  Camped out all night at the Leon County Courthouse, so that I could

3.  Be one of the first people to vote early in the election.

Now it's naptime.  Details to follow once I am out of class this afternoon.

Florida State, Politics comment []9:30:03 AM   trackback []