Friday, October 08, 2004



Tropical Storm Matthew



After going five days without a named system (the longest such drought since before Alex fromed in July), the Atlantic now has a tropical storm.  At 5PM this afternoon, Tropical Storm Matthew was born from a surface low that the National Hurricane Center had been closely watching over the past few days. 

At 4:00 PM CDT, the center of Matthew was 260 miles east-southeast of Brownsville Texas and heading to the east at 10 mph.  Maximum sustained winds are 40 mph and tropical storm force winds extend up to 175 miles, mainly to the east and northeast of the center. 

According to the forecast discusstion, there is a good bit of disagreement among the models on the future path of Matthew (which in turn yields disagrement over his intensification).  The forecast track is away from that forecast by the global models, something that does bother the forecater a bit.

It's going to be a rainy weekend on the Gulf Coast, but that should be the only problem caused by Matthew.

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