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Monday, April 27, 2009


Not good news

[Crossposted to Path to Sustainable] Greenhouse Gases Continue to Climb Despite Economic Slump: [Via NOAA News Releases]
Two of the most important climate change gases increased last year, according to a preliminary analysis for NOAA’s annual greenhouse gas index, which tracks data from 60 sites around the world.

[More]

We all hear about the increase in CO2, as that is the main anthropogenic greenhouse gas. But methane is a much more potent greenhouse, with 25 times the effect of CO2. It is just present in lower amounts.

Methane-2008

Climate Progress has a nice figure and discussion about the ramifications of methane. There is a huge amount of methane frozen in the permafrost. As the permafrost melts, it releases the trapped methane. There is also a large amount in the oceans that will be released by warming waters.

This is one of the tipping points feared by many climatologists. If the methane is released, there is really very little we can do to capture it again. It will move the planet to a new climate regime, one which is much hotter than today, even if we stop all CO2 emissions.

This is one reason why many scientists have a sense of urgency.

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  comment []9:46:29 AM    


Something to think about

 Page - Officialportrait

[Crossposted at Path to Sustainable]

The Green FDR: Obama's first 100 days make - and may remake - history: [Via Climate Progress]
The media just keeps missing - or messing up - the story of the century.

Future historians will inevitably judge all 21st-century presidents on just two issues: global warming and the clean energy transition. If the world doesn't stop catastrophic climate change - Hell and High Water - then all Presidents, indeed, all of us, will be seen as failures and rightfully so.
Discussing history while living IN it is a very difficult proposition. Future events can alter many paths. But this is a much more interesting discussion of the first 100 days than simply comparing Obama with Bush, Reagan or FDR.

Too many of the media are discussing political football views of history. They have very little connections to the long term course of the US and the world.

Climate and the environment are the areas where the long term effects will really be felt. Decisions made today will reverberate over the next 50 years or so.

One of the interesting aspects of American politics is that we often have the person in place to make the changes that we want. We do get the government we want and, for now, it is one that is devoted to achieving green.

100 days in and things look amazing.
Here is a partial list of what Obama has achieved in his first 100 days - please feel free to add others - laying the groundwork for him becoming the Green FDR:
  1. Obama began the process of blocking the vast majority of new coal plants. The EPA has stopped one new coal plant in South Dakota (Obama EPA blocks South Dakota Coal Power Plant), reversed the Bush EPAâo[dot accent]s effort to ignore the Supreme Court decision that determined carbon dioxide was a pollutant (and hence that CO2 emissions from new coal-fired power plants needed regulating), and initiated the process of regulating greenhouse gases for the first time in U.S. history.
  2. He began the process of dramatically increasing the efficiency of our vehicles, by ordering EPA to quickly give California and a dozen other states the right to put in place tough emissions requirements for tailpipe emissions of greenhouse gases âo[per thou] and by ordering the Department of Transportation to quickly issue and phase-in toughrt fuel economy standards to comply with the 2007 Energy Bill, the first overhaul of the nationâo[dot accent]s fuel efficiency standards in over three decades (see here).
  3. He appointed a first-rate Cabinet and then unleashed them to start inconvenient-truth telling to the public after 8 years of Administration denial and muzzling of U.S. scientists (see Steven Chu: âo[ogonek]Wake up,âo� America, âo[ogonek]weâo[dot accent]re looking at a scenario where thereâo[dot accent]s no more agriculture in California,âo� and âo[ogonek]This is a real economic disaster in the making for our children, for your childrenâo�).
  4. In every single major speech, he has focused on the urgent need for the clean energy transition, for a price for carbon (cap-and-trade and "closing the carbon loophole"), and the unsustainability of our current economic system (see Obama gets the Ponzi scheme: âo[ogonek]The choice we face is not between saving our environment and saving our economy. The choice we face is between prosperity and decline.âo�)
  5. He signed into law the tax credits needed to achieve his ambitious goal of 1 million plug-in hybrids by 2015 âo[per thou] the key alternative fuel vehicle strategy needed to avert the worst consequences of three decades of successful conservative efforts to stop this country from dealing with the energy/economic security threat of rising dependence on imported oil and the inevitably grim impacts of peak oil (see âo[ogonek]Why electricity is the only alternative fuel that can lead to energy independenceâo[ogonek]). He also enacted into law $2 billion in grants and loans for R&D into advanced vehicle batteries, a tenfold increase over current funding. Plug-ins and electric cars, of course, are a core climate solution, since electric drives are more efficient, easily powered by carbon-free energy and indeed far cheaper to operate per mile than gasoline, even when running on renewable power. In the longer term, plug ins and electric cars can also help enable the full renewable revolution.
  6. He signed into law a massive investment in mass transit and train travel - and laid out an aggressive vision for a high-speed rail network. The 70% boost in funding is a crucial effort needed to prepare this country for a time when air travel simply becomes too expensive for most people (and then a slightly later time when air travel is seen as simply too destructive of a livable climate) âo[per thou] a time not very far away âo[per thou] one that the vast majority of readers of this blog will live to see.
  7. He signed into law the tax credits needed meet his ambitious goal of doubling renewables in his first term (see âo[ogonek]Another big win for renewables in the stimulus billâo[ogonek]).
  8. He signed into law the funding needed to jumpstart a 21st smart grid that is critical to enable the renewable energy, energy efficiency, and plug-in hybrid revolution. He also made what may be his most important appointment, Jon Wellinghoff for Energy Commission Chief, who understands the future is not filled with new coal and nuclear plants (see âo[ogonek]We may not need any, everâo�), and who has already begun jumpstarting the new, greed grid ("Huge âo[breve]Green Power Expressâo[dot accent] wind grid gains federal rate incentives").
  9. He signed into law the single biggest investment in the deployment of energy-efficient technology in U.S. history, along with strong incentives for state governments to fix their inefficiency-promoting utility regulations.
  10. For the first time in three decades, he more than doubled the annual budget for advanced energy efficiency, renewable energy, and low carbon technology after Reagan slashed federal efficiency and renewables investments 80% to 90%, which launched decades of vehement ideological opposition to clean tech by even so-called moderate and maverick conservatives (see âo[ogonek]Is a possible 60th Senate seat worth a not-very-green GOP Commerce Secretary?âo� and âo[ogonek]The greenwasher from Arizona has a record as dirty as the denier from Oklahomaâo[ogonek]).
  11. He put forward, the first sustainable budget in U.S. history, one that invests in clean energy, included cap-and-trade revenue, and seeks repeal of fossil industry subsidies. Yes, he made a serious tactical mistake by tentatively pursuing the possibility of trying to pass a climate bill through reconciliation, which allowed conservatives to score some meaningless tactical political victories and thereby confuse the media into thinking Obama was himself not serious about this issue (see George Stephanopoulos, Nate Silver, and Marc Ambinder all seem confused about global warming and budget politics and Obama says his energy plan and cap-and-trade âo[ogonek]will be authorizedâo� even if itâo[dot accent]s not in the budget âo[ogonek]and I will sign itâo� âo[per thou] Washington Post confused. In fact his budget and every thing he has done as president shows the reverse is true, that he understands the fate of his presidency and the health and well-being of the American public rests on his success in passing serious energy and climate legislation.
Years from now, long after the economy has recovered, this may well be remembered as the time that progressives, led by Obama, began the climate-saving transition to a sustainable low-carbon economy built around green jobs.
Carter pursued a nascent attempt at some of these points but the effort was quickly choked off by politics. We are now at a juncture where Obama and Congress MUST do some pretty radical things to have the effects we need to see.

That is why I certainly hope that 50 years from now this is how people see Obama's time as President:
Obama is the first president in history to articulate both the why and how of the sustainable vision - and to actively, indeed aggressively, pursue its enactment. And that is why he is likely to be remembered as the green FDR.
Because if he is not, then there is a very good chance the world will be in a very bad way.

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  comment []9:27:03 AM    


 
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Last update: 5/3/09; 12:15:09 AM.