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Tuesday, May 19, 2009


Warming bigtime up north - Path to Sustainable

NOAA: Fifth warmest April on record: [Via Climate Progress]
NOAAâo[dot accent]s National Climatic Data Center reported last month:

Based on preliminary data, the globally-averaged combined land and sea surface temperature was the fifth warmest on record for April, and the January-April year-to-date period tied with 2003 as the sixth warmest on record.

lt is worth noting "the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) transitioned from a cold phase (La Niña) to ENSO-neutral conditions during April 2009," which kept things on the coolish side. If we stay neutral (as most models currently predict), it'll get hotter and if go into an El Niño (as some models predict) then we should be back to setting record temperatures.

And no, I donâo[dot accent]t think the monthly data tell us much about the climate. But I know reporting it annoys the deniers. More seriously, it is definitely worth seeing where it is warming [click to enlarge]:

[More]

The further north you go, the higher the temperature increase. Higher temperatures may sound nice if you have to deal with a Siberian winter but there is a very good reason to want to keep the far north very cold - methane.There are huge amounts of methane held in the permafrost that will be released if the temperature keeps rising. From Climate Progress:

âo¢ NOAA recently reported: âo[ogonek]Methane levels rose in 2008 for the second consecutive year after a 10-year lull,âo[caron] âo¢ Scientific analysis suggests the rise in 2007 methane levels came from Arctic wetlands (see here). âo¢ Siberia contains probably the worldâo[dot accent]s largest amount of carbon locked away in the permafrost (see here). âo¢ The permafrost is increasingly not so perma (see here). âo¢ Much of that carbon would be released as methane, which is 23 times more potent a greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide.

Release of methane from the permafrost could have a huge effect on climate change as methane is a much stronger greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide with a global warming potential 25 times greater than carbon dioxide over a 100 year timeline. And we have no way of putting it back.

[More at Path to Sustainable]

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Last update: 7/1/09; 9:41:46 AM.