Sunday, August 15, 2004

2004 Presidential Election Electoral-vote.com: "Bush and Kerry are in a statistical tie in North Carolina, of all places. A new poll by Research 2000 puts Bush at 48% and Kerry at 45%, with a margin of error of 4%. The previous poll there had Bush with a 7% lead. Perhaps the people of North Carolina are beginning to warm to the idea of their senator as vice president. We'll see what happens on the next poll though." unfutz: "It's been a little over a week since my last survey of Electoral College tracking / prediction / projection / forecast / scoreboard / map sites, so it's time to once again take a look and see where we stand." Zogby International: "Massachusetts Senator John Kerry is favored over President George W. Bush (47%-43%) among likely voters when Ralph Nader, Libertarian, Constitution and Green Party presidential candidates are factored into the 2004 presidential race, according to a new Zogby America (national) poll. The telephone poll of 1011 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Saturday (August 12-14, 2004). Overall results have a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1. Thanks to the Daily Kos for the link. Taegan Goddard: "Here are the latest state poll from the presidential race: North Carolina - Bush 48, Kerry 45 (Research 2000); California - Kerry 50%, Bush 40% (Strategic Vision); New York - Kerry 53%, Bush 35% (Quinnipiac); Washington - Kerry 49%, Bush 42% (Strategic Vision)." Josh Marshall: "Yet, in the almost two weeks since the convention, something else novel has happened. The logic of a 'bounce' is that it's a run-up in the polls which slowly subsides. But the reverse has happened with Kerry. While his bump in the polls coming out of the convention was relatively small, the numbers which have appeared since that time has shown a slow increase in his lead and -- more pointedly -- a deepening of the underlying bases of that lead, as measured in approval on key issues, trust, likability, and so forth." 5:23:27 PM

Denver November 2004 Election Ed Cone: "By writing directly onto the web, Thigpen has the ability to communicate with a potentially enormous number of people, in his own voice, unmediated and at almost no cost. He's got his own media platform now; he doesn't have to wait for television or the newspaper to carry his message, or dip into his campaign budget to buy an ad every time he wants to get a message out. And because readers can leave comments, he's able to have something like a conversation with them...But there is something special about a weblog. It keeps people coming back by adding fresh content and allowing for a running conversation. It lets the experts on a given subject speak for themselves, rather than just be spoken for and about." I'll make my usual offer. I'll help any and all campaigns start a weblog. No charge. You'll need $49 for Radio Userland, $25 a month for Ricochet wireless service and $2,500 or so for a PowerBook. 9:02:48 AM

Colorado Water Denver Post: "Some of the snowiest mountains in Colorado rise above the valley. Yet Winter Park officials have told builders they are running out of water to serve new development. Now, Denver Water and the Northern Colorado Water Conservancy District are firming up plans to pump more water from Grand County to proposed new reservoirs that would be built on the east slope. That could make every year a drought year in the Fraser Valley, experts said...Under the state's "first in time, first in right" water law system, Denver Water has the right to take virtually all the water it can use. And Denver built its diversions long before the era of environmental laws...However, that doesn't have to be at the expense of Grand County, said Michael Bennet, Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper's chief of staff. He noted that Denver Water is working to help Grand County build a reservoir in the valley to help solve its water woes. 'We recognize Winter Park and other recreational opportunities in the high country are hugely important to Denver's own economic interests,' Bennet said. 'It is fantasy to believe that this state can solve its water problems unless we can figure out ways to work together.'" 8:32:29 AM

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