Monday, April 07, 2003

SARS Exponential Rates for Infection and Death - How the math works Graph of SARS Epidemic. (c) Ted Kaehler 2003 Here is a site with a graph of the SARS epidemic. Incidentally, it is powered by Squeak. Epidemics usually follow S-shaped curves. The predictions here are based on pure exponential growth. When the middle of the S-shaped curve is reached, the rate of infection will slow, and exponential growth predictions will no longer be useful. The reported data shows that the epidemic is still in an exponential growth phase. Via Dave Smith but blogged first by Frank. [Joi Ito's Web] 7:23:13 AM    comment []