Docs Wrangle Over SARS Death Rate. How deadly is SARS? The CDC estimates the death rate at 4 percent, but other researchers say the actual count may be much higher. By Kristen Philipkoski. [Wired News]
"Instead, some say the rate should be calculated by dividing the number of deaths by the sum of the number of deaths plus the number of people who recovered, which would exclude those people who are still sick, resulting in a higher death rate.
According to Niman's math, the death rate in Hong Kong would be 25 percent, in Canada 21 percent, in Singapore 15 percent and in Vietnam 10 percent. In China, the death rate would be only 5 percent."
We still know so little about SARS - but if the death rate is in the 20-30% as mentioned in this article then we could face the type of challenge that the world faced in 1918. Here is an excellent short review of the Spanish Flu
The Spanish flu did not come from Spain. It came as do most flu bugs from China. Why do dangerous viruses come from China? The issue is the type of food system in Guangdong. Intensely practical, the locals have a closed loop food system. Humans at the top who feed their feces to their pigs whose feces run off into ponds which feed fish and ducks. The humans eat the pigs, ducks and fish. In this loop animal virus can be altered by the inter species links. Pigs are especially capable of being a vector as they are omnivores and close biologically to the human system.
There seems to be something very dangerous about these types of feedback loops. Mad Cow disease was caused by feeding animal protein back to herbivores such as cows that should not have been eating animal protein. As well as working on vaccines for flu and SARS, should we not look at this process and stop this type of interaction at source. There is more for China to answer for than bad public health
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