Tax cuts, stimulis, the national debt and bond markets:
Here's a running total of the National debt.
President Bush recently signed tax cuts into law, which will probably do some good right now. This economy needs whatever help it can get. In the long run, however, I don't believe "supply-side" economics works. It's good for the short term, and for exceptional circumstances. When Bush is gone and Uncle Sam's bills pile up, the government will probably increase taxes. That's what we were forced to do in 1993.
As a basic principle, when the government borrows, the bond market is affected. U.S. bonds get dumped onto the market and are competing with other bonds in the marketplace. If the government borrows a lot, issuing bonds, it may pressure interest rates upwards. All bonds in the marketplace compete for buyers.
There are many factors that go into the dynamics of credit markets, so it's not guaranteed that interest rates go up when the government issues a lot of bonds. It is my opinion, however, that a massive presence of government bonds flooding the market to finance the US debt is undesirable. Some government debt is OK. When it grows really large, I believe it becomes a problem. In this respect, you can call me a conservative.
Ironically, the Bush administration is supposed to be for less government in all of our lives. If they keep the national debt growing like it is, government participation in the financial markets will only increase.
1:43:23 PM
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