Updated: 5/7/2003; 7:00:03 PM.
Un Film Snob Pour Martiens
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Wednesday, April 16, 2003

Frank H. Knight on the difference between risk and uncertainty:

But Uncertainty must be taken in a sense radically distinct from the familiar notion of Risk, from which it has never been properly separated. The term "risk," as loosely used in everyday speech and in economic discussion, really covers two things which, functionally at least, in their causal relations to the phenomena of economic organization, are categorically different. The nature of this confusion will be dealt with at length in chapter VII, but the essence of it may be stated in a few words at this point. The essential fact is that "risk" means in some cases a quantity susceptible of measurement, while at other times it is something distinctly not of this character; and there are far-reaching and crucial differences in the bearings of the phenomenon depending on which of the two is really present and operating. There are other ambiguities in the term "risk" as well, which will be pointed out; but this is the most important. It will appear that a measurable uncertainty, or "risk" proper, as we shall use the term, is so far different from an unmeasurable one that it is not in effect an uncertainty at all. We shall accordingly restrict the term "uncertainty" to cases of the non-quantitive type. It is this "true" uncertainty, and not risk, as has been argued, which forms the basis of a valid theory of profit and accounts for the divergence between actual and theoretical competition.

 

Knight, Frank H., Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit. Hart, Schaffner & Marx; Houghton Mifflin Company. 1921. Library of Economics and Liberty. 16 April 2003. http://www.econlib.org/library/Knight/knRUP1.html


11:02:19 PM    comment []

Second try:

Just a little reminder from the cathedral in Strasbourg that Franco-American relations have historically been positive.  And with good reason.


10:45:19 PM    comment []

Google is my homepage.  Normally, I have it set to show up as the English version, but for some reason today it's ignoring my preferences and giving me the French version; they have some kind of IP geographic mapping going on.  I went to change language and when I hit 'E' the language that came up was Elmer Fudd

De "I'm Feewing WuckyTM" button automaticawwy takes you to the fiwst web page wetuwned fow youw qwewy.

I love companies with a sense of humor.  I have this feeling that it would be incredibly cool to work for Google.

 


10:12:38 AM    comment []

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