Nova Spivack: The Future of the Web, has two interesting articles - one tracing the Pattern of Social Technology Evolution, and the second, his vision of the Metaweb.
In the first, he traces the evolution of online technologies from the 80's with a vision for the 2010's, along five parameters - content, communication, collaboration, community, commerce.
For the 2010's here's his vision :
Content : Lifelogs” & Personal Portals - All information about a person and their experiences is automatically logged for their personal use. Semantic routing of content delivers relevant information to interested parties automatically – everyone gets their own portal.
Communication : Universal Communications -Persistent identity and relationship management across all devices, software, and networks enables seamlessly integrated synchronous and asynchronous communications.
Collaboration : Group Minds - Anyone can know what everyone knows; everyone can know what anyone knows. New levels of collective intelligence are enabled by fusion of Semantic Web with distributed agents and knowledge management tools.
Community : Emergent Communities - Communities spontaneously emerge and self-organize around memes (hot topics). Communities are decentralized; no longer “hosted” in any single location or controlled by any single service provider
Commerce : Intelligent Marketplaces - Intelligent commerce agents interact semi-autonomously in a decentralized global marketplace. Self-optimizing trading networks
In the second article, he ties this evolution into implications for the Metaweb, along a matrix of degrees of information connectivity and social connectivity.
"The Metaweb is emerging from the convergence of the Web, Social Software and the Semantic Web."
A larger image can be viewed here.
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Copyright 2005 Dina Mehta