Sunday, December 25, 2005



End of Broadcast TV.

Terry Eaton thinks that 2006 is when broadcast television will eventually meet its maker. His essay, The Unbundled Awakening is a good read in how the video business might shake out in the year to come. via Doc Searls’s IT Garage.

By nobody@example.com (Om Malik). [Om Malik on Broadband]
11:21:21 PM    comment   



Ready for Web 3.0?. Are we really ready for Web 3.0? Phil Wainewright seems to think so. In a series of postings here, here, here and here, he argues that we are embarking on a transition to Web 3.0. I have enormous respect for... [Edge Perspectives with John Hagel]
11:18:16 PM    comment   



Indians not using MMS much.

In a survey conducted by market research agency TNS across 15 countries, Indians have been found to be among the lowest MMS users.

The survey found only 1% of cellphone users - five out of 395 people surveyed - in Indian metros using MMS to send pictures daily. Only four respondents sent pictures at least once a week or month. Nearly a fifth of the respondents in India, or 69 people, did not have a camera phone.

MMS as a feature is not popular for mobil users anywhere, including some of the richest nations in the globe.

While the cost of sending picture messages was a major concern in China, India, South Korea and Germany, the Koreans also felt dissuaded because of the unusually long time to send picture messages. In the UK, on the other hand, the fact that photographs cannot be sent to all phones or networks was another reason inhibiting cellphone owners from using MMS to send or receive pictures.

Findings of this survey don’t seem to match with those of SmartTrust’s study which found Indians topping usage of photo sharing via MMS.

[Mobile Pundit]
11:17:28 PM    comment   



Maxis may buy 26% of Aircel.

Business Standard reports that Malaysian telco Maxis Communications Berhad may pay $280 million (Rs 1,265.32 crore) for a 26% stake in the C Sivasankaran-controlled Aircel Ltd.

At an enterprise value of $1.07 billion (Rs 4835.3 crore), the Malaysian company will be paying about $496 (around Rs 22,414) per subscriber for the deal. The valuation is much lower than the $1,000 (Rs 45,190) per subscriber that Vodafone paid for a 10 per cent stake in Bharti Televentures and the $570 (Rs 25,758) a subscriber paid by Essar for buying out BPL Telecom.

Sivasankaran refused to comment on the deal. This is the fourth time he has struck a deal to sell Aircel. His earlier moves were stalled because the department of telecommunications (DoT) refused to issue the necessary clearances.

In June last year, Sivasankaran had struck a deal with Hutchison Essar to sell the entire equity of the company for $362 million (Rs 1,635.9 crore). With a subscriber base of 850,000 at that time, Hutch was willing to pay around Rs 18,000 per subscriber. But the deal fell through because the DoT did not clear the acquisition.

In February this year, Sivasankaran signed an agreement with AFK Sistema of Russia to sell a 49 per cent stake for $450 million (Rs 2,033.5 crore).

This deal expired in March. However, the company was offering $546 per (Rs 24,674) subscriber [base ']Äì higher than the Maxis offer.

In June 2005, a group of US investors lead by Pequot Ventures had offered to buy 30 per cent in Aircel for $350 million (Rs 1,581.6 crore). The talks fell though.

The deal is expected to be signed on December 30.

Related: Aircel in talks with Malaysian telcos

[Mobile Pundit]
11:08:38 PM    comment   



Orascom gets foothold in India.

A month after Vodafone stepped into India through a stake in Bharti, its arch rival Orascom Telecom has got a foothold in the country.

The Cairo-based telecom major Orascom Telecom has picked up a 19.3% stake in the Hong Kong-based Hutchison Telecom, which holds a 42% stake in Hutchison Essar.

Orascom Telecom Chief Executive Officer Naguib Swiris, who announced that his aim was to emulate Vodafone by building a mobile empire, said the acquisition would help it to enter India.

[base ']ÄúWe have often expressed our keen interest to enter some of the largest and highest growth mobile markets in the world like India, Indonesia and Vietnam. The tieup with Hutchison Telecom presents Orascom Telecom with exposure to these markets,[base ']Äù a joint statement issued by the two companies on Wednesday quoted him as saying.

In addition to sending two representatives to the Hutchison Telecom board, Orascom is expected to have members on the board of Hutchison Essar, Hutchison Telecom[base ']Äôs joint venture in India with the Essar group. The Essar group holds 35% stake in the company.

Analysts said the Orasom-Hutchison would be a formidable force in the emerging markets including India. On a combined basis, Orascom and Hutchison Telecom control mobile operators in 15 countries representing an area covering 2 billion people. They together serve 40 million mobile subscribers as on September 30, 2005.

Orascom Telecom operates GSM networks in Algeria (under the brand name Djezzy), Pakistan (Mobilink), Egypt (MobiNil), Tunisia (Tunisiana), Iraq (IraQna), Bangladesh (Banglalink) and Zimbabwe (Telecel Zimbabwe). India Calling

Source: Business Standard

[Mobile Pundit]
11:07:36 PM    comment   



BSNL-MTNL.

The government is reconsidering the issue of merger between BSNL and MTNL on the basis of suggestions made by a financial consultant appointed by the Centre.

Since BSNL and MTNL had been owned by the government, a need was felt that merger between the two would give more operational synergy. While BSNL is fully owned by the government, MTNL is a listed company. Capital structure of both the companies are different.

Facts and figures on BSNL from its Chairman and MD, AK Sinha:

BSNL has a mobile subscriber base of 14 million nationally and the target is to increase it to 25 million by March 2006.

It is aiming to achieve a turnover of Rs 38,000 crore in the current financial year, higher by Rs 2,000 crore over the last fiscal.

In the year of 2004-05, BSNL invested Rs 2,269 crore in rural telephony, of which Rs 1,415 crore were invested in the Northeast states, Jammu and Kashmir, and Uttaranchal.

The rate of surrender of fixed line connections was higher than the number of new lines given. However, there is demand for fixed line phones in the rural areas. The revenue per fixed line for the company was falling, but is compensated by the growth in mobile and broadband services. BSNL was also earning revenue from inter-connect charges and selling enterprise solutions.

The company has slammed the finance ministry[base ']Äôs recommendations that all government departments, ministries and officials be permitted to use the services of all private telecom operators.

Sinha said, “While on one hand BSNL has been used as a tool for implementing socially desirable but commercially non-feasible initiatives by the government, on the other, it has been denied the status of preferred service provider for the government sector.”

While highlighting that BSNL was a 100 per cent government-owned company, Sinha also pointed out that “all private telecom operators followed a policy of using their own telecom services for all communication across their various units".

Meanwhile, the staff of BSNL is planning to go on a nationwide strike on January 5, 2006 in protest against the government’s decision to allow 74% FDI in the telecom sector and against divestment of BSNL and state-level Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd (MTNL). The employees of the public sector giant are demand ing a Navaratna status for BSNL.

“We are the biggest PSU with an authorised capital of Rs 10,000 crore and with a paid up capital of Rs 5,000 crore. The organisation has been consistently making profits for the last five years and also paid a dividend of Rs 975 crore last year,” he said.

[Mobile Pundit]
11:03:19 PM    comment   



Nokia Sees 3G Handset Sales Doubling in 2006. Nokia expects good growth in 3G mobile handset sales next year with global volumes set to double, CFO Rick Simonson says. [eWEEK Technology News]
10:52:17 PM    comment   



Japan: NTT DoCoMo Buys Into TV Network. 3G_news NTT DoCoMo, in a significant move to enhance its mobile TV plans, is buying a 2.6 percent stake in Fuji Television Network Inc. for $178.4 million. The deal is an important strategic move as the companies aim to link mobile communications and broadcasting. NTT DoCoMo is set for a busy year in terms of its television strategy.
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Our 3G Support Service - 3G Interim Management [Daily 3G News]
10:47:31 PM    comment   



"We Like Companies In Wireless and Handheld Space:" Arvind Sodhani, President, Intel Capital. The Financial Express: An interview with Arvind Sodhani, President of Intel Capital in India. After Intel announced a $250-million India venture fund recently, it has made three investments - two were follow-on investments while the third, in Mobiapps, was an investment in the fast growing communications technology space.
What is the profile of companies that Intel's India-specific fund will invest in?
The $ 250 million fund is one of the largest funds country-specific funds. Specifically, we would look at companies in the wireless and handheld area -- in broadband deployment, software design and services, hardware design and services and enterprise computing. Our investments will range from $0.5 million to $1 million at the low-end to as much as $10 million at the high-end.
Read further. [ContentSutra]
10:44:13 PM    comment   



Nokia Gives More Details On New Gaming Strategy. When Nokia confirmed it wouldn't be making any more N-Gage models a little while ago, the surprise was, well, surprising, given it had announced the plans at E3 in May to make the N-Gage a gaming platform and extend it... [MobHappy]
9:55:29 PM    comment   



Greenpark Capital Buys Siemens VC Arm Portfolio. : You read it here first: as promised last night, we found out the name of the buyer of Siemens Acceleration in Communications's portfolio buyer: it is London-based secondary buyout firm Greenpark Capital. A new fund is being established to hold the VC arm's assets and will now be co-managed by Nova Capital, a London-based investment management firm, which specializes in the management of acquired portfolios. The fund will have the capacity to make follow on investments in the portfolio companies....
[The VC arm had invested in some companies we cover here and on our sister site MocoNews.net regularly, like GlooLabs, Ki-Bi Technologies, Mobile2win, Oplayo, PhoneBites, PurpleAce, Realeyes 3D, Rock Mobile, Xingtone, V-Enable and others...]
The SMC principals, including CEO Dietrich Ulmer, CFO Oliver Kolbe are forming a new entity, and will co-manage the new fund and portfolio companies.
More from the internal e-mail obtained by us, in the extended entry.... [PaidContent.org]
9:54:24 PM    comment   



Lead Generation: Digital Media's Killer App?. : Ken Sonenclar, Managing Director of the Digital Media & Technology Group within media investment bank DeSilva + Phillips (Disclaimer: one of our longtime advertisers), has come out with a white paper on how lead genration is the big differentiator for online companies and how that is siphoning money off traditional media companies. On the M&A side, multiples for recent sales of lead-gen firms have ranged from reasonable to startling, with buyers snapping up premier properties at an accelerating pace.
The paper lays out four approaches that have come to dominate the lead-generation landscape. "Since advertising represents half -- and often far more -- of a publisher's revenue picture (subscriptions supplying the "other half"), no industry has more to lose to the online lead generators than publishers. Consequently, no industry should be more focused on lead generation than publishers. Like laggards in any industry, they can either grow their own or buy their way in, but they cannot afford to stand by and watch." [PaidContent.org]
9:53:37 PM    comment   



Callback Tunes Ringing In Serious Money For Telcos. The Financial Express: Callback tunes are gaining momentum in the Indian ringtone business.
In a market such as India where ARPUs are below Rs 400 per month, virtually all the leading players have launched callback tune services to keep their cash registers ringing. Launched in India in June 2004 by BPL Mobile as My FX, callback tunes have quickly caught on. Airtel launched its version of the callback tune service barely a month later, while Hutch followed with Caller Tunes in September 2004. This year in March, Idea Cellular launched Dialer Tones. Already the service contributes 20% to Ideaâo[dot accent]s VAS revenues.
Says an (official of) Cellular Operators Association of India (COAI), âo[ogonek]With around 20-25% of Indiaâo[dot accent]s mobile subscribers paying to have caller ringback tones and downloading of ringtones, and with a monthly growth rate of 20-25%, according to industry estimates, they have become one of the most popular applications.âo� As with ringtones, in the case of callback tones, three parties are involved in providing the service. Music companies provide the content, aggregators take care of issues like copyrights and formatting the music and, of course, the cellular service provider.



A big gainer is the music industry. While Hutch takes the intellectual property rights for the content from music record companies on a revenue share basis, Idea directly deals with the vendors and not the music record companies. Currently, a music company gets 25-40 per cent of every payment made by a consumer for a download, depending on the popularity of the tone and whether it is a mono, poly or true tone, reports COAI. And since the ringback tunes reside in the server of the carrier and are not downloadable to the handsets, it eliminates the danger of piracy. [ContentSutra]
9:52:35 PM    comment   



"Be Prepared For Other Modes Of Content Delivery:" Star India COO Sameer Nair. Indiantelevision.com: An interview with Star India COO Sameer Nair "on what the year has been and what the industry can expect from 2006". Nair talks about a range of issues including IPTV.
...we will have to face broadband and IPTV though they are still far away. Streaming live television content on mobile may be very expensive now. But it is going to change. The moment our broadband breaks the bandwidth barrier and gets connected to households, things are going to change. Amidst all these innovations and new platforms, television will still be viewed as family entertainment. But larger and larger sections of people will start accessing other modes. So you need to prepare for that.
Sameer Nair is one of the finest minds in India television business. He was responsible for the success of Kaun Banega Crorepati Part I (the Hindi version of Who Wants To Be Millionaire?). [ContentSutra]
9:51:41 PM    comment   



The End of the "French Exception"?
France was until now the only European country which still maintained a model of two competing satellite pay-TV platforms. This will probably change as Canal Satellite (jointly owned by Vivendi Universal and Lagardere) and TPS (owned by the commercial broadcasters TF1 and M6) join forces to create a single platform. It is expected that the new entity will be controlled in 85% by the Vivendi group, with TF1 and M6 controlling 9.9% and 5.1% respectively. The operation will result in the creation of the second largest European pay-TV group in terms of subscribers (9.4 million) after Sky (leader with 11.7 million).



Fierce price wars, escalating costs for football rights and other premium content, and increasing competition from telecom operators, cable and Internet service providers, have put strong pressure on the two satellite pay-TV operators. In addition, the success of DTT in France has considerably slowed down growth in the pay-TV market. The deal comes therefore as no surprise at a time where consolidation of pay-TV markets is taking place all over Europe. Similar moves took place earlier in Spain (November 2002) and Italy (April 2003) while a single platform was the rule in Germany and the UK. There is no longer a [base "]French exception[per thou].



The French regulator ( Conseil Superieur de l¥Audiovisuel [^]CSA) and competition authorities (European or national if the case is referred) will certainly look closely at the deal. The latter will concentrate on the impact on competition while the former will also consider its potential implications for media pluralism and cultural diversity. It is unlikely that the [base "]failing firm defence[per thou] will be accepted as an argument, although the delicate financial situation of both groups will probably play in favour of a green light decision. This is primarily the consequence of the 600 million Euro paid last year to acquire the French football League rights for the period 2005-2008, which left Canal Satellite with a high cost to face, and TPS with no content to offer.



We will probably see, yet again, regulation being introduced through the back door via competition law. This is a highly interesting and relatively recent phenomena whereby competition authorities intervening ad-hoc make use of merger conditions to effectively regulate the market, going often times beyond what the pure application of competition law would require. The idea is that it is better to have a [base "]regulated monopoly[per thou] than an unregulated one. Interestingly, it is increasingly the case that competition authorities entrust regulators with the monitoring of the effective compliance by the parties with the merger conditions (we have seen examples of this in Spain, Italy and also Hungary).



This kind of [base "]trial and error[per thou] approach has some advantages but there are also fundamental problems, in particular regarding accountability. Regulators and competition authorities have developed a common language and make use of very similar instruments, but their objectives remain distinct. It will be interesting to see what happens now in the French case.
- monica [| OfcomWatch |]
9:49:12 PM    comment   



"I'll tell people what to think. Now you tell me what to think." - Homer Simpson
Ofcom recently stood up against Digital One over the issue of Ofcom issuing a second national DAB multiplex license. Digital One, which is majority owned by GCap, holds the only current national DAB license. Predictably, GCap opposes Ofcom's intention to issue a new multiplex. It's hard for someone like me to side with GCap. Listening to an incumbent complain about new competition generally doesn't interest me as a consumer.



GCap and Ofcom also seem to be engaging in confidentiality-laced debate! First, GCap presents what it called a 'confidential legal submission' to Ofcom. (see paragraph 5 of this document for the reference). Then, in its responsive statement , Ofcom redacts significant portions of its analysis.



Maybe GCap and Ofcom can find a secret court to settle their dispute? The court's decision can also be non-public... but it won't matter because we'll all be using iTunes anyway!
- Russ [| OfcomWatch |]
9:48:24 PM    comment   



Free-market telecoms utopia exists
Ever wondered what would happen if you woke up one morning to find that Ofcom and all telecoms regulation had disappeared overnight? Perhaps you were recently whisked away by the ghost of Christmas future only to find a land where mobile operators ran shoddy, inefficient monopolies, markets were stagnant and service was unreliable. Or then again perhaps it was the utopia you always dreamed of.



According to the Economist no such wishful thinking is necessary as all free-market enthusiasts need do is buy a competitive air fare to the anarchy that is Somalia. With no stable government, no national telecoms company and certainly no regulation (except that of gangs, guns and warlords) the market is flourishing, costs are down and reception is the best in Africa. Price is $0.30 a minute for anywhere on the planet meaning Somalis can keep in contact with the large diaspora community in the western world.



Golis Telecom set up with a $2.7m investment in Chinese equipment and aims for 50,000 subscribers by 2007. They have also diversified into broadband and landlines to stay ahead of the market. Who knows how soon we will see widespread convergence?
- Peter [| OfcomWatch |]
9:40:37 PM    comment   



Senate Passes Bill to Convert to Digital TV. The legislation would complete the transition from analog to digital television by 2009. By STEPHEN LABATON. [NYT > Technology]
9:39:29 PM    comment