Is a European quartet playing NATO's swan song?
Meanwhile on the opinion page of the Tribune, Frederick Bonnart, editorial director of the military journal 'NATO's Nations' discussed how future EU plans will affect the alliance. Bonnart's argument is interesting, but I believe he kind of misses the point.
He points out that the new initiative by 4 nations of the EU to establish a new defence arrangement is militarily insignificant but politically important. He is of the opinion that a seed may have been sown that weakens the alliance, or ultimately destroy it. He is right that more statesmanship is requires - his final remark.
But I think something more fundamental is happening. Romano Prodi or Javier Solana, or any of the EU heavy hitters, will not be content with EU defence in its current form, ultimately they are seeking to rival the US. In my studies of the Amsterdam Treaty and the Nice Treaty, and in any number of speeches given by major EU leaders, the aim has always been not to duplicate NATO roles - but to make the EU into a new NATO.
NATO, or at least those that are also members of the EU, will form the cornerstone of the future European defence arrangement. NATO is an alliance, but the EU-NATO will be a new alliance, and that is the plan - just not with the US as part of it.
1:15:04 AM
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