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This is in response to a speech that Sen Richard Lugar (R-IN, chairman of the foreign relations committee) gave at a graduation ceremony at Tufts University. The graduates were students of international relations, I think.
I had read the text online, and some of it reminded me of what Geoff had said about repairing alliances, so I sent him a note with the link.
Thanks a million. It has to be one of the best speeches I've read on foreign policy today. I'd have a million things to say about it if I wasn't so pressed for time right now. Perhaps tomorrow I can address some of it better.
One point, though -- not necessarily to do with the Lugar speech, though related to it:
Some while back, I got the fleeting impression (correct me if I'm wrong) that you may have assumed I was in favor of actions like our intervention in the Dominican crisis in the '60s, the Grenada invasion -- other interventions like that.
Actually, I'm not. And the Bay of Pigs was also a disaster for a number of reasons, but one reason that has pertinence to one overriding mistake we repeatedly make/made during the Cold War and now that ricochets to this day: our propensity for too much of an eagerness to make unwise bedfellows of certain enemies of our (occasionally Communist) enemies (vide the corrupt Thieu and Ky in Vietnam, Francisco Franco, Pinochet, Duvalier, Marcos, Ahmed Chalabi today, Saddam Hussein before him -- heck, Bin Laden trained by the CIA!).
This tendency has landed us in more trouble -- IMHO -- than anything else, and unless we develop a warier eye of those we "sleep with", it will be our ultimate undoing. I really feel that.
Will write you soon -- but naturally, feel free to send me your take on the Lugar address and other related matters any time.
[For those who didn't follow the link, Lugar basically presented the argument for cultivating allies around the world and working hard to stay on good terms with them. He didn't refer to the big ally blow-off that accompanied our invasion of Iraq, but you could read it between the lines.
[I think the Senate Foreign Relations Committee as a whole has been great on Iraq lately. Behind all the shouting and blaming, they're the ones who are now doing the tough and unattractive work of figuring out how to make the best of this mess that we've gotten ourselves into. I respect that, notwithstanding that two of the leading participants (Biden and Hagel) are senators I strongly dislike on other issues. (The word-gamer in me can't help noticing that the four senior members of the committee have identical consonant-vowel patterns in their name: Lugar, Biden, Hagel, Boxer.)
[A couple weeks ago I saw C-Span's coverage of one of the committee meetings in which these four were questioning a group of four Iraq experts. The questioning was refreshingly non-partisan, and you could tell that the senators were not playing for the cameras but were genuinely hungry for any decent advice that might help them formulate a better policy. I couldn't tell for sure, but it sounded like it was Biden who chose and invited the four. They were two liberals (Gen Joseph Hoar, Phebe Marr) and two conservatives (Anthony Cordesman and some guy from the Hoover Institute whose name I've forgotten), but they were uniform in their opinion that Bush's policy in Iraq is dreadful.
[Another thing they all agreed upon is that the idea of partitioning Iraq into three parts is foolish. I found this particularly interesting. I've debated this with our friend REG, who is keen on the partition plan, but I at least thought it was a serious plan to argue against. These four didn't even take it seriously at all. To them it was just a half-baked idea for armchair pundits who have no idea of what Iraq is really like. Their consensus was that in spite of the serious political fracturing in Iraq, it's still a single country, and to divide it up -- even if anyone could agree on borders, which no one can -- would only make things a lot worse.
[Thanks for clarifying your position on our little invasions. I don't recall drawing any conclusion about your support or opposition, but now I know. Regarding the CIA's relationship with Bin Laden, a little clarification is due. From your brief mention, I can't tell exactly what you mean to imply, but others make much more of this "training" than is warranted. The CIA was heavily involved in funding and training the mujahedin resistance to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan. Osama bin Laden was heavily involved in funding and recruiting the same force. Evidently, Bin Laden did do a small amount of fighting with the mujahedin, but his role was primarily organizing and recruiting.
[Given their parallel paths, it's probable that there was some CIA contact with Bin Laden, but to say that he was "trained by" the CIA is exaggerated and misleading. If he was trained at all, it was only indirectly along with others of the mujahedin. He certainly was never our protegé. Far more important is the fact that after the Soviets withdrew, many of the trained and armed mujahedin joined Bin Laden's new group. Thus al-Qaeda inherited much of the training and materiel that we provided.
[As long as we're on the topic, Saddam Hussein was not a protegé of American foreign meddling either, as many liberals like to claim. He found his way into power on his own. Once he was there, we had some interaction with him as we would with any foreign leader. It wasn't until after the revolution in Iran that we became closely allied with Saddam for a few years. That's the period that produced the photographs you sometimes see -- shaking hands with Rumsfeld and so forth -- but Saddam had been in power for many years by then. We certainly didn't create him.]
11:14:22 PM [permalink] comment []
No! The point of the SPR is to guard against getting completely f*cked when OPEC gets the major non-OPEC producers to cut off the USA's supply. If all the remaining Ford and GM and Chrysler plants get converted to make Jeeps and bombers again, but we can't get enough fuel to run the plants or drive the jeeps or fly the bombers, how would we win the resulting wars? The propaganda supporting the SPR's creation insisted that it was not to be used for price arbitrage but only as a national security measure.
And doesn't your mind feel less polluted? I have no TV, and I far prefer it that way.
Dunno, I didn't hear the gaffe in question. I've only ever seen it in print. Emphasis on the first syllable seems likeliest, although knowing Bush, I would expect something like "STRAT-eh-joo-ree." But who knows? This is a man who (rather unfortunately) pronounced "Abu Graib" as "Abu Gra... rape."
That's a bit of an odd construction, don't you think? I've never heard anyone use that before, and it took me a few seconds to parse. Although the more standard inverse form also feels wrong in this instance. I probably would have just said, "I think it's pretty unlikely that the two are actually having an affair." Anyway, I agree with the content, even if the grammar is a wee bit odd.
Oh, Mark. Of course you should. It is every American's patriotic duty to listen to the vocal stylings of our beloved Attorney General:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/bush/story/0,7369,661458,00.html
(Of course, it's better in glorious hi-fi broadband audio -- maybe bring a pair of headphones to the library next time?)
10:22:35 PM [permalink] comment []