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 Wednesday, November 27, 2002

The Whole Biochip: Your Genome for Less than $1
 
Just as the microprocessor enabled the cost of computation to drop from $75 to less than a billionth of a cent for a million computations between 1970 and 2002, so too will the cost of sequencing an individual's genotype drop through the floor over the next twenty years.  With the completion of the Human Genome Project just three years behind us, the cost has already fallen from approximately $3 Billion to sequence an individual's genome to several hundred thousand dollars today.  Recent claims have been made that a $1000 genotyping system could be possible in the next 5-10 years. 
 
Looking ahead further it is possible to imagine sub-$1 genotyping systems as the market for such services grows extremely large (i.e. all of humanity and beyond), driving competitive pressures up and prices down.  This type of cost decrease will need to happen in proteomics as well for the Whole Biochip to emerge.
 
I wonder when genotyping will become all the rage as a Holiday gift?  2014?
 

3:05:16 PM    comment []