Democratic presidential candidates by Calif. congressional district: http://vote2004.ss.ca.gov/Returns/dcd/00.htm, http://vote2004.ss.ca.gov/Returns/dcd/all.htm

Kerry and Edwards were over the 15% threshold in every CD [congressional district]. Here's every other instance where any candidate was at 10% or more in a particular CD:

• District 6 (Marin County): Kucinich 10.1% -- I called this a "slim" chance of reaching 15% and getting a delegate.

• District 8 (San Francisco): Kucinich 13.7% -- I called this a "solid" chance.

• District 9 (East Bay): Kucinich 13.5% -- I called this "slim".

• District 17 (Monterey/Santa Cruz): Kucinich 10.3% -- I wasn't following any particular area beyond the S.F. Bay, but Santa Cruz is like a low-budget Marin so this makes sense.

In the districts where I said Dean might have a chance of a delegate, he polled...

• District 8 (San Francisco), 5.3%;

• District 9 (East Bay), 4.6%;

• District 15 (Silicon Valley), 3.9%.

Dean and Kucinich ran 3rd/4th or 4th/3rd almost everywhere. Dean only reached five percent or more in seven CDs, Kucinich did it in twelve. Dean's best result was 6.4% in District 47 (Anaheim/Santa Ana).