Monday, October 11, 2004

2004 Presidential Election President Bush will be stumping in Colorado today and tomorrow, according to the Rocky Mountain News [October 11, 2004, "Edwards, Bush plan Colo. visits"]. Here's the coverage from the Denver Post [October 11, 2004, "Bush to attend rallies today at Lowry and Red Rocks"]. Colorado is now officially a swing state. I'll catch up with y'all later (i.e. Electoral-vote.com has not updated yet). Early morning meeting at the office. I hate it when work gets in the way of politics. Blogs for Bush: "ABC/Washington Post: It has it President Bush 51%, John Kerry 46% - right back where it was before the first debate." Update: Electoral-vote.com: "Mondays are always quiet and today is no exception. An Opinion Research poll in Arkansas breaks the tie there and puts Bush ahead by 9%. I don't think Kerry really has much of a chance in Arkansas. The south, except for Florida, looks pretty solid for Bush, although there might be surprises in one or two border states. Kerry edged ahead again in Minnesota." "Zogby did a large (N = 1216) telephone poll Oct. 7-9 (thus, after the second presidential debate) and found the race to be a statistical tie, with Kerry at 46%, Bush at 45%, Nader at 0.9%, Cobb at 0.2%, Peroutka at 0.2%, and Badnarik at 0.1%. The rest are still undecided. I guess they are waiting for the third debate, on Wednesday. Some people like to collect all the data before coming to a conclusion. Interestingly, Zogby also found that among newly registered voters, Kerry holds a 5% lead. Given the millions of people who registered for the first time this year, new voters (along with the millions of overseas voters) could be a serious factor." Update: Taegan Goddard: "If you need more proof this election is going to be hard to predict, the major tracking polls appear to be moving in opposite directions. ABC News/Washington Post has Bush leading Kerry by 6% and Rasmussen has Bush ahead by 4%. But Zogby shows Kerry beating Bush by 3%. And the USA Today/CNN/Gallup Poll shows Kerry leading by 2%." Update: From email from Donna Redwing: "Howard Dean will be in downtown Denver this Thursday!! Rally at noon at the Amphitheatre in Civic Center Park, Thursday, October 14th. Colorado is one of Howard Dean[base ']s strongest supporters, and that is why Howard Dean added a stop in Denver to his Western trip.  He wants you to come meet and support the four Colorado [base "]Dean Dozen[per thou] candidates, and the local candidates that Democracy for Colorado has endorsed. Let[base ']s show him again that he can count on us. Please help us spread the word! Send this message to your friends. See You Thursday! Civic Center Park is at Broadway and 14th Street.  For parking, try the new Art Museum parking garage at 12th and Broadway.  Wheelchair access is on the Broadway side of the park." Update: Josh Marshall: "Welcome to the world of Rove." 6:14:36 AM

Denver November 2004 Election Here's the coverage of Ken Salazar's debate with Pete Coors on "Meet the Press" from the Rocky Mountain News [October 11, 2004, "Coors, Salazar clash nationally"]. From the article, "Host Tim Russert declared "all eyes on Colorado," saying the balance of power in the U.S. Senate could rest on the fight to succeed retiring U.S. Sen. Ben Nighthorse Campbell. Republicans now hold a 51-48 majority (with one independent), meaning a shift of just two seats could change the majority. Although Coors and Salazar already have met in a series of debates, the condensed format and Russert's aggressive questioning helped draw clear distinctions and put both candidates on the defensive at times." Here's the coverage from the Denver Post [October 11, 2004, "Senate race gets national airtime"]. The Rocky Mountain News editorial staff says thumbs up for Referred Question 1A [October 11, 2004, "Charter change crucial for Denver cop reform"]. The question will set up the civilian oversight of the Denver Police Department. From the article, "In terms of police reform, Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper has proved to be no shrinking violet. Last year, rightly sensing there was no time to waste, he quickly put forth a blueprint for civilian oversight. Since then, most of the fundamentals of his plan have been hashed out. Most of the city's political elites have signed on. Now it's up to voters to endorse the ballot initiative that will likely make it all happen. We're talking of course about referred Question 1A, the proposed charter change necessary to effect the mayor's most substantive reform: a full-time, quasi-independent police monitor, with power to review internal police investigations, disciplinary actions and civilian complaints, and make the findings public. Under a proposal agreed to by the city council, the monitor would be appointed by the mayor and confirmed by the council for a four-year term." According to a recent Denver Post poll Colorado voters favor Amendment 35 [October 11, 2004, "Voters like tobacco tax"]. The article has the lowdown on where the voters stand on most of the ballot issues for November 2nd. Colorado Luis: "I'm putting this post up more for my out of state readers who have been wondering whether to divide up Colorado's nine electoral votes when filling out their Electoral College predictions. Don't bother. Amendment 36 is not going to pass." 6:08:34 AM

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