More life in Moore's Law, creator says. Gordon Moore expects his law, which postulates that the number of transistors on a chip doubles every two years, will slow down a bit but continue to chug along. [CNET News.com]
Gordon Moore feels that soon the technical issues of sqeezing more onto a chip will hit the wall of physics. But what if we move beyond chips to other medium?
This is Ray Kurzweil's view of the future. He feels that Moore's law has been in effect for all of time. Human Speech maybe 40,000 BC; script maybe 4,000 BC. Printing maybe 1450 AD; the telegraph maybe 1850; steam printing maybe 1860; The telephone 1900 and so on. He postulates that there is such momentum that we will break through the medium barrier and find other mediia for storage and transmission
I attach his brilliant essay "The Singularity is Near" that looks at the exponential pace of technological change
8:11:29 AM 
|
