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Wednesday, December 10, 2003 |
Let's put together....
Let's put together a calendar for next spring in Iraq. Under the
current plan, the US occupation authorities will hand over sovereignty
to an Iraqi government on July 1st 2004. It seems reasonable to suspect
that the month or two... [Talking Points Memo: by Joshua Micah Marshall]
Interesting. Marshall figures that
late next spring will be a perfect storm for bad times in Iraq: 1)
we're turning control over to the local government, 2) we'll be cycling
118,000 new troops into Iraq, 3) the weather will be getting hot. So
insurgents will be concentrating their efforts then. This does sound
like a perfect example of "mammoth failure of foresight and planning... "
There's simply no other way
to describe it. And the reason is fairly clear: the key decisions which
got us into this box were made up on the fly over the last six months
or so in response to exigencies which were widely predicted but which
the planners of the war chose not to believe.
How this fits in with the election is really interesting. If the
insurgents are really successful, it'll do big damage to W's chances at
re-election. Or are they figuring they can have it over by the
convention in September so they can show films of the Iraq victory and
9/11 at the Republican convention? They may be figuring a bad spring
will be forgotten by fall election.
7:36:41 PM Permalink
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© Copyright 2004 Steve Michel.
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