2004 Presidential Election
Electoral-vote.com: "Bush and Kerry are in a statistical tie in North Carolina, of all places. A new poll by Research 2000 puts Bush at 48% and Kerry at 45%, with a margin of error of 4%. The previous poll there had Bush with a 7% lead. Perhaps the people of North Carolina are beginning to warm to the idea of their senator as vice president. We'll see what happens on the next poll though."
unfutz: "It's been a little over a week since my last survey of Electoral College tracking / prediction / projection / forecast / scoreboard / map sites, so it's time to once again take a look and see where we stand."
Zogby International: "Massachusetts Senator John Kerry is favored over President George W. Bush (47%-43%) among likely voters when Ralph Nader, Libertarian, Constitution and Green Party presidential candidates are factored into the 2004 presidential race, according to a new Zogby America (national) poll. The telephone poll of 1011 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Saturday (August 12-14, 2004). Overall results have a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1. Thanks to the Daily Kos for the link.
Taegan Goddard: "Here are the latest state poll from the presidential race: North Carolina - Bush 48, Kerry 45 (Research 2000); California - Kerry 50%, Bush 40% (Strategic Vision); New York - Kerry 53%, Bush 35% (Quinnipiac); Washington - Kerry 49%, Bush 42% (Strategic Vision)."
Josh Marshall: "Yet, in the almost two weeks since the convention, something else novel has happened. The logic of a 'bounce' is that it's a run-up in the polls which slowly subsides. But the reverse has happened with Kerry. While his bump in the polls coming out of the convention was relatively small, the numbers which have appeared since that time has shown a slow increase in his lead and -- more pointedly -- a deepening of the underlying bases of that lead, as measured in approval on key issues, trust, likability, and so forth."
5:23:27 PM 
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