2004 Presidential Election
Here's a story from the Wall Street Journal about webloggers at next week's Republican National Convention. Thanks to Blogs for Bush for the link.
Taegan Goddard: "Poll shows Kerry hurt by attacks. Political Wire got an advance look at the new Los Angeles Times poll showing President Bush 'moving slightly' ahead of Sen. John Kerry 'for the first time this year.' Bush had the support of 49% of registered voters, compared to 46% for Kerry. The newspaper's analysis indicates Kerry 'has been nicked by attacks on his service in Vietnam.' The 'small shift' from last month's poll 'is within the poll's margin of error. But it fits with other findings in the Times Poll showing the electorate edging toward Bush over the past month on a broad range of measures, from support for his handling of Iraq to confidence in his leadership and honesty.' Independent voters split evenly, but Bush's 'tentative new advantage' seems to be 'his greater success at onsolidating his base. While just 3% of voters who call themselves Republicans say they will vote for Kerry, Bush is drawing 15% just over one-seventh of all Democrats, and fully one-fifth 20% of Democrats who consider themselves moderate or conservative, the poll found.'"
Taegan Goddard: "The presidential race is getting closer. The latest Economist poll shows Sen. John Kerry's lead over President Bush slipping to just three points, 47% to 44%. The Rasmussen Tracking Poll shows a dead heat: Kerry 47%, Bush 47%. Meanwhile, the Electoral Vote Predictor shows Kerry just barely ahead, as a recent poll gives Florida to Bush. 'We may have to wait until all the votes are counted -- several times -- before we know.= Here are the latest state polls: New Jersey - Kerry 49%, Bush 39% (Quinnipiac); Washington - Kerry 48%, Bush 43% (Strategic Vision); Indiana - Bush 52%, Kerry 40% (Bellwether); Florida - Bush 49%, Kerry 47% (Rasmussen); Michigan - Kerry 48%, Bush 45% (Survey USA); Maine - Kerry 49%, Bush 44% (Survey USA)."
John Perry Barlow: "Those of you who often read this blog will recall that, in my last post, I hatched a plan to (very mildly) disrupt the Republican Convention here in New York next week. Along with fifty or sixty others, I'm going to dance at them. Dividing ourselves into several platoons of guerrilla dancers disguised as ordinary pedestrians, we are going to roam the sidewalks in Republican rich zones, periodically erupting into wild and inexplicable explosions of dancing. We will sustain these for a few minutes before melting back into the crowd and heading off to strike someplace else. I believe this will throw them off their game just slightly, since most of them don't or won't dance and are unsettled by those who do. (Q: Do you know why Southern Baptists don't make love standing up? A: Because someone might think they were dancing.) In addition to being the most genial form of protest I can think of, I'm also convinced that when you're dancing, you're at least not part of the problem."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "New polls. The latest George Washington University Battleground Poll shows Sen. John Kerry with a two point lead over President Bush, 49% to 47%, in a two-way race where the candidate is named. Just 4% of the electorate remains undecided. As this is billed as a 'bi-partisan poll,' strategic analysis is provided by Celinda Lake for Democrats and by Ed Goeas for Republicans. Here are the latest state polls: Pennsylvania - Kerry 45%, Bush 43% (Issues PA); Maryland - Kerry 53%, Bush 42% (Survey USA); Ohio - Bush 49%, Kerry 44% (LA Times); Missouri - Bush 46%, Kerry 44% (LA Times); Wisconsin - Bush 48%, Kerry 44% (LA Times)."
Update: According to this USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll, President Bush leads Senator Kerry, "50%-47% among likely voters, while Kerry led Bush 48%-47% among registered voters." They're calling it a slim lead for the president.
Update: Seattle Post-Intelligencer: "The answer, Mr. President, is not to restrict the use of political free speech, but to condemn its abuse." Thanks to Josh Marshall for the link.
Update: Electoral-vote.com: "There are six new polls today, including Florida and Michigan (ed. Indiana, Maine, New Jersey and Washington). Rasmussen confirms Gallup's result that Bush is a fraction ahead there, 49% to 47%, with Nader at 2%. Kerry maintains his small lead in Michigan 48% to 45%. The other polls don't change anything either."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "Bush says Kerry didn't lie about Vietnam. In an interview with the New York Times, President Bush said that 'he did not believe Senator John Kerry lied about his war record, but he declined to condemn the television commercial paid for by a veterans group alleging that Mr. Kerry came by his war medals dishonestly.'"
6:32:45 AM 
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