19 Days.
I broke one of blogging's golden rules the other day when I wrote
"20 Predictions for 2005". That golden rule is "keep it short" as we're
all too busy to read and analyse long posts.
So, following some email feedback, I thought it would be worth
breaking the whole post into bite sized chunks and re-posting them over
the next month - a sort of "one per day" approach.
If you have read them diligently - sorry, but you can always just skip over them.
That'll also allow people to comment in focused way instead of "Whoa
- that's a lot, but yeah I agree with number 3 and 6, but number 7
sucks...or was it 5? Whatever..."
Please leave a comment as all bloggers love feedback and it also makes it more interesting for everyone else.
The first one was P2P file sharing on mobiles:
1. P2P File Sharing
So far, the mobile world has been spared the massive assault on
revenues that has plagued the record industry. Having said that,
despite said assault, CD sales do continue to rise, so there's some
muddled thinking going on somewhere.
There have been quite a lot of small experiments, niche sites and
geeky mobile users swapping files and ringtones, but it's far from
moving into the mass market. You could get your hands on, for instance,
a cracked N-Gage game within a week of launch, if you know where to
look.
But I predict that this cottage industry will boom in 2005 as kids
get fed up of paying three times more for a few notes than they get
charged for downloading the whole track at legitimate sites like iTunes.
While a proportion of this will take place over the PC, I think Bluetooth and local P2P sharing will light this particular fire.
There's even a possible business model here, if you think about it. And I don't mean relying on advertising.
UPDATE: Since I wrote that a few days ago, we looked at the phenomenon of Happy Slapping where what are basically assaults are filmed on video phones. The resulting films are passed all over the UK by Bluetooth. [The Mobile Technology Weblog]
6:33:07 PM
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