2004 Presidential Election
Here's the fourth part of Mike Littwin's tour of Red/Blue America, from the Rocky Mountain News [July 21, 2004, "Rollin' on the river: You have to cross Missouri to get to the White House"]. Littwin writes, "Among the nation's swing states, Missouri can claim one thing no other can. In the last 100 years, only once did Missouri vote for a losing presidential candidate - Adlai Stevenson in 1956. That's why we've come here. In red-blue parlance, this is a purple state, one of the swing states that the pollsters and the pols tell us will determine the election. In blue Seattle and red Virginia Beach, Va., we found certainty. Here we find complexity."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "New Polls
The latest Investors Business Daily poll shows Sen. John Kerry leading President Bush 44% to 41%. In a three way race, Kerry leads 42% to 40%, with Ralph Nader getting 4%. Pew Research Center has a new poll showing Kerry leading Bush 46% to 44% with Nader at 3%. Arizona - Kerry 42%, Bush 41% (KAET-TV).
Update: Washington Post: "At a time when Bush and Kerry are running about even among all registered voters, Kerry enjoys a 2 to 1 advantage over Bush among Latino registered voters. Hispanics give Bush lower approval ratings than the overall population does, and the poll shows that the bulk of the Latino community continues to identify with the Democratic Party."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "If the election were held today, Princeton Professor Sam Wang says Senator John Kerry would win: 'Counting the last six polls, the current probability of a Kerry win is 98 percent. Counting only the last three polls, the probability is 99.98 percent.'"
Update: Wired: "The fact that the Democratic Party has invited bloggers to the convention in Boston has stirred up lots of media attention lately. The Washington Post, USA Today, L.A. Times and Associated Press have published pieces on it (and now, of course, so am I), and The New York Times published an editorial."
Update: Paul Boutin: "JibJab brothers Gregg and Evan Spiridellis will be on TV to talk about their runaway smash hit animation, 'This Land.'"
6:35:35 AM
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