2004 Presidential Election
President Bush has a narrow lead over John Kerry in the Electoral College tally, according to the Associated Press, via the Rocky Mountain News [July 25, 2004, "AP: Bush Leads Kerry in Electoral Votes"]. From the article, "With three months remaining in a volatile campaign, Kerry has 14 states and the District of Columbia in his column for 193 electoral votes. Bush has 25 states for 217 votes, according to an Associated Press analysis of state polls as well as interviews with strategists across the country...Both candidates are short of the magic 270 electoral votes. The margin of victory will come from: Tossups - Bush and Kerry are running even in 11 states with a combined 128 electoral votes. Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Wisconsin, Michigan and West Virginia are the toughest battlegrounds. Two other tossups, Pennsylvania and Oregon, could soon move to Kerry's column. Leaning Kerry - Maine, Minnesota and Washington (a combined 25 electoral votes) favor Kerry over Bush by a few percentage points. Gore carried them in 2000. Leaning Bush - North Carolina, Colorado, Louisiana, Arizona, Virginia, Arkansas and Missouri (a combined 73 electoral votes) give Bush modest leads. He won all seven in 2000. All total, 21 states are in play. Some will bounce between 'lean' to 'tossup' throughout the campaign."
ElectoralVote.com has a graphic of the race for the Electoral College vote.
Here's the pre-convention wrapup of national polls from Polling Report.
Update: Here's an in-depth look at Senator John Kerry from the Denver Post [July 25, 2004, "A candidate of contradictions"].
Update: Daily Kos: "(National Public Radio) July National Survey: July 18-20, 800 likely, +/-3.46 (June results), Kerry-Edwards 47, Bush-Cheney 46, Other 1, Hard Undecided 5."
Update: TalkLeft: "So, a few minutes after we sat down in our seat, Colorado's Governor Owens boarded and sat a few rows behind us. (Yes, coach for both of us today.) What on earth is he dong attending the Democratic Convention? Well...of course we asked him. (Note, we've met him before at television studios where we had sequential hit times, so it's not like we walked up to him cold.) Gov. Owens's answer was quite interesting: He has been selected to be the media opposition to the Dems Monday night. I asked which channel and he responded 'all of them.' Then he said that Gov. George Pataki is doing Tuesday night and Rudy Guiliani is doing Wednesday night. Mass Gov. Romney is doing Thursday night. We figure, if, if they're doing all networks, the media isn't paying them and they've been sent by the higher ups of the Republican party."
6:50:12 AM 
|
|
