Coyote Gulch

 



















































































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  Sunday, February 1, 2004



Colorado Water

Bob Ewegen writes that he is encouraged that the defeat of Referndum A in last fall's election has jump started a statewide discussion of water issues, in his column in yesterday's Denver Post [January 31, 2004, "'Cry me a river' is a poor water policy"]. According to Ewegen, "Yet, even in defeat, Referendum A was the right fight. It marked the first time in at least four decades that Colorado had anything resembling a statewide dialogue on water needs, including the question of compensating basins that lose water resources and efforts to preserve our agricultural base. And that dialogue has already begun to produce some useful ideas."
10:46:27 AM     



Denver November 2004 Election

Gary Hart will not try to win the seat in the U.S. Senate currently held by Ben Nighthorse Campbell, according to the Denver Post [January 31, 2004, "Hart won't run; Dems still looking"]. From the article, "Mike Miles, the leader among the small pack of political unknowns who are already running, says he's not worried about anyone else getting in. He has raised about $140,000 compared with Campbell's $1.8 million, but he has been beating the bushes since the fall of 2001. He announced Friday that he has nearly 1,000 people signed up to attend the Democratic caucuses this April. 'I think anyone who thinks about getting into the race underestimates the grassroots support we've built,' said Miles, a Colorado Springs educator. (State Democratic chairman Chris) Gates says that state Sen. Dan Grossman, D-Denver, will take another look at the race now that Hart is out. And University of Colorado Regent Jim Martin is still said to be looking at the race. There have been grumblings that state and national party officials should stop recruiting the party's old guard when there's already a primary between Miles, Larry Johnson of Boulder and Denver lawyer Brad Freedberg. But Gates says it's his job to build interest in the race."

Here's the link to Mike Miles' website and Brad Freedburg's website. I don't think Senator Campbell has a re-election website yet but here's a link to his Senate website.
9:21:20 AM     



Digital Democracy Teach-in

Next Sunday Coyote Gulch will be in San Diego for the 1st annual Digital Democracy Teach-in. I plan to post from the event letting all my readers know about the cool new techniques that we're pioneering. We now know that a huge online organization and a bunch of cash doesn't necessarily get voters to the polls. We also know that TV can still sink a candidate. The Internet is not as strong a force as TV in shaping the views of the electorate.

My focus at next week's conference will be on using the Internet to get people to the polls. Please post any comments you may have, or e-mail me at, jworr@operamail.com. Can the Internet really neutralize the advantages of incumbency, TV, and traditional politics?
9:01:49 AM     



2004 Presidential Election

A picture named warholali.jpgHoward Dean's new campaign manager, Roy Neel, has a post up on the campaign weblog that details the strategy for the rest of the campaign. They are saying that their new strategy, sort of a "Rope a Dope", harkening back to a prizefight in Zaire between Muhummad Ali and George Foreman.

Roy Neel asks the rhetorical question, "Has such a strategy ever worked before?" He answers, "No. It's never been tried." He goes on to say, "But prior to this year, no candidate had ever raised $46 million dollars, mostly from ordinary Americans giving $100 each. Prior to this year no candidate for President had ever inspired the kind of grass-roots activity that has been this campaign's hallmark. Prior to this year no candidate for President had so clearly revitalized his party, allowed it to reclaim its voice, and shifted the agenda so clearly to a call for change."

I'm sure that this is first time I've heard a campaign manager detail strategy on a weblog, not depending on the media or other communication mechanisms to get out the word. Hundreds of thousands of Dean supporters can read the message and act. Right now, of course, Neel hopes they'll act by sending the campaign some dough. And they have. According to Neel the campaign has collected $2 million since Iowa and $640 thousand since New Hampshire.

Don't forget that the campaign polled contributors, asking what they would be willing to contribute, in the primary, if the campaign turned down federal matching funds. Dean and Neel have an idea of what they can expect to collect still. They seem to be turning the campaign away from the wasteful spending ways they used in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Of course Josh Marshall (and others) think that this is just the kind of noise a campaign makes prior to giving up the ghost. Mr. Marshall is a far more experienced observer than the 'Ol Coyote.

Here's an article from The Nation with details about the Republican Primary in New Hampshire. I dug the link out of the comments to Roy Neel's post on the Dean weblogs. You gotta love weblogs! From the article, "In all, 8,279 primary voters wrote in the names of Democratic challengers to Bush on their Republican ballots. That's a significant number. In the 2000 general election, Bush beat Democrat Al Gore in New Hampshire by just 7,212 votes. Had Gore won New Hampshire, he would have become president, regardless of how the disputed Florida recount was resolved. The prospect that Republicans and Republican-leaning independent voters in New Hampshire, and nationally, might be developing doubts about whether Bush should be reelected is the ultimate nightmare for the Bush political team. White House political czar Karl Rove begins his calculations with an assumption that Republicans will be united in their support of the president's reelection. But the president's deficit-heavy fiscal policies, his support for free-trade initiatives that have undermined the country's manufacturing sector, and growing doubts about this Administration's military adventurism abroad appear to have irked not just Democrats and independents, but also a growing number of Republicans."

President Bush is also facing challenges to his 2005 Budget. Here's a post about the President's radio address on the budget yesterday, from BlogsForBush.com.

Well so far Dean's strategy seems to be working. Here are some links to the latest American Research Group and Zogby for Arizona, Oklahoma, and South Carolina, from Taegan Goddard, showing Dean third and/or fourth in each state.

Colorado's own Curious Stranger is linking to Christopher Lydon. Lydon laments the power of big media to influence the nomination process and is urging the movement(s) that drafted Wesley Clark and were (are?) galvanized around Howard Dean to use their power. Quoting Lydon, "There's something about those bloggers, those self-reliant Internet citizens, those activist writers and gabbers, those MeetUp insurgents so glad to be together, on their own hind legs, who drafted Wesley Clark and raised such a storm of clean money and enthusiam around Howard Dean, that makes the masters of media feel lonely and weak. And so they exercise the power they have. The rest of us should do the same."
7:53:22 AM     



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