2004 Presidential Election
Electoral-vote.com: "Despite this being a holiday weekend, we actually have a real poll, and an important one at that. Bush has take a 3% lead in New Mexico, a major switch since the previous poll, where Kerry was 6% ahead. However, it should be pointed out that this poll was taken during the RNC and just after Bush campaigned there. Rasmussen has started publishing a 3-day rolling average every day. For Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, (all post-speech), Bush's lead nationally has shrunk to 1.2%. Rasmussen looked at the Time and Newsweek polls we had yesterday and said the samples had too many Republicans in them. When he corrected for this effect, he concluded that the Time and Newsweek data might support the conclusion of a 3% Bush lead, not more. This observation is noteworthy because it is relatively rare when one pollster says that his colleagues blew it."
Update: Daily Kos: "USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll results: Among Registered Voters: Bush 49, Kerry 48."
11:47:34 AM 
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