2004 Presidential Election
Dick Cheney will be in Denver on Thursday, according to the Denver Post [September 28, 2004, "Cheney to speak Thursday in Denver"].
Electoral-vote.com: "Some bad news for the polling business. Strategic Vision (R) has a new poll in Ohio showing Bush ahead 52% to 43% there. However, there is also a Lake Snell Perry (D) poll showing the race there to be an exact tie, with both candidates at 46%. It is becoming increasingly clear that the pollsters are producing the results that the people paying the bills want to hear. Even pollsters who were once thought to be above suspicion are now suspicious. Gallup, for example, is now normalizing its samples to include 40% Republicans, even though the 2000 exit polls showed the partisan distribution to be 39% Democratic, 35% Republican. There is scant evidence that the underlying partisan distribution has changed much since then. Other pollsters also normalize their data, but most don't say how. Normalizing the sample to ensure the proper number of women, elderly voters, etc. is legitimate provided that the pollster publicly states what has been done. Despite a smattering a polls today, none of these mean much on the eve of the first debate. For many people, the debates will determine their votes"
Ed Quillen looks at healthcare in his column in today's Denver Post [September 28, 2004, "U.S. pays more, gets less"]. Quillen writes, "Great Britain spends only 6.9 percent of its GDP on health care, considerably less than our 12.9 percent. Yet British citizens enjoy a slightly longer lifespan, 77.8 as compared to our 77.3, and a lower infant mortality rate, 5.5 rather than our 6.8. In other words, they spend less and get more. That's also true of many other countries. Icelanders spend 8.7 percent of their GDP on health; they live 2.6 years longer, and only half as many of their babies die before their first birthday. The Japanese enjoy the world's longest life expectancy, 80.8 years, and their infant mortality rate is only 60 percent of ours. They spend only 7.5 percent of their GDP on health care. Canada spends 9.2 percent of its GDP on health, and Canadians live two years longer than we do."
Ed Fitzgerald: "My last survey of Electoral College tracking / prediction / projection / forecast / scoreboard / map sites being a week old, it's time to plunge in again to see what the trackers have to say."
Taegan Goddard: "New polls. Zogby will begin daily national tracking, starting October 4th and running right through Election Eve, November 1st. Sign up today! Here are the latest state polls: North Carolina - Bush 50, Kerry 44 (Research 2000); Ohio - Kerry 46, Bush 46 (Lake Snell Perry - D); New Hampshire - Kerry 47, Bush 47 (Lake Snell Perry - D); Oklahoma - Bush 57, Kerry 31 (Wilson Research)."
6:45:16 AM 
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