2004 Presidential Election
The first presidential debate is tomorrow.
Electoral-vote.com: "New polls put Kerry ahead in Oregon by 6%, by 49% to 43%, and in Florida by 1%. The latter means nothing, of course. With all the hurricanes in Florida, the outcome is more in doubt than ever. Will it effect the election? Maybe turnout will be depressed. Maybe people will be angry at the government for not providing more aid. Who knows."
Juan Cole: "It is indisputable that the Iraq situation is Fouled Up Beyond Repair, or FUBAR. The number of daily attacks has gone above 80. The Green Zone where the government offices are is taking mortar fire. Little of the country is actually under control, and it goes further out of control at the drop of a hat. Amarah was in full rebellion against the British in late August, forcing them to fire 100,000 rounds of ammunition in a major battle of which most Americans remain completely unaware. The country is witnessing a guerrilla war that is vast in geographical reach, such that the guerrillas struck British troops and National Guardsmen in the far southern city of Basra on Tuesday. Americans have little appreciation of geography, and still less of foreign geography, but let's put it this way. The guerrillas were battling in Fallujah and Basra on the same day. They are over 300 miles apart. This is like being able to strike in both Youngstown, Ohio and Baltimore, Md. on the same day. The guerrilla resistance is not small, or localized, or confined to only 3 provinces."
From the Rocky Mountain News, "President Bush's hometown newspaper in Crawford, Texas, has endorsed Democrat John Kerry. Four years ago, it endorsed Bush. 'The re-election of George W. Bush would be a mandate to continue on our present course of chaos,' the weekly Lone Star Iconoclast wrote."
Email from Punk Voter is pointing to Young America Votes.
Update: TalkLeft: "As if there weren't enough problems with the new anti-terror bill Congress is considering under the guise of implementing the 9/11 Commission Report, Obsidian Wings finds another one--and it's chilling. In plain English, Kathryn says, it would legalize torture--and she's asked us to reprint the salient features."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "Gallup's chief pollster defended their presidential poll last night on CNN's Inside Politics after withering criticism from bloggers Chris Bowers and Ruy Teixeira. Gallup partner USA Today also defends the poll."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "President Bush 'has reopened a significant lead' over Sen. John Kerry 'over the past week, even as voters express less confidence in the president on Iraq and he continues to trail Kerry on the economy,' accoridng to a new Pew Research Center survey. Bush now leads 48% to 40%. 'The poll finds that Bush's gains in support are being driven more by perceptions of Kerry's weakness especially on leadership and other personal traits than by improved opinions of Bush.' The latest Economist poll shows the presidential race tied, with Bush and Kerry each getting 46%. The latest Democracy Corps poll (D) shows Bush slightly ahead of Kerry among likely voters, 49% to 46%...Here are the latest state polls: New Jersey - Kerry 49, Bush 46 (Rasmussen); California - Kerry 53, Bush 40 (Rasmussen); Arkansas - Bush 51, Kerry 44 (Rasmussen); Oregon - Kerry 50, Bush 43 (Research 2000)."
6:34:48 AM 
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