2004 Presidential Election
Taegan Goddard: "Here are the post-convention national polls: CNN/USA Today/Gallup: Bush 49%, Kerry 48% (registered voters); CNN/USA Today/Gallup: Bush 52%, Kerry 45% (likely voters); Zogby - Bush 46%, Kerry 44%; Newsweek - Bush 54%, Kerry 43%; Time - Bush 52%, Kerry 41%. Here are the latest state polls: New Mexico - Bush 45%, Kerry 42% (Albuquerque Journal); Michigan - Kerry 48%, Bush 44% (Rasmussen); New Jersey - Kerry 50%, Bush 46% (Rasmussen); California - Kerry 50%, Bush 42% (Rasmussen); Minnesota - Bush 46%, Kerry 46% (Rasmussen)."
Electoral-vote.com: "We have four new polls today, one of them significant. Bush and Kerry are now tied in Minnesota. This is bad news for Kerry. He should have been way ahead there. It is now clear that July was a good month for Kerry. He led the entire month. August has been a good month for Bush. He is definitely ahead now. No two ways about it. The other polls are in California, Michigan, and New Jersey, all of which still show Kerry in front."
Ed Fitzgerald: "For those interested, I've posted my latest (9/6) survey of Electoral College tracking / prediction / projection / forecast sites. Executive summary: Bush has regained almost all the ground he lost to Kerry in the last two months. He has about 255 to 261 electoral votes, while Kerry is at 254. Of the 48 sites surveyed, 20 show Bush winning and another 6 show him ahead. Fifteen sites show Kerry winning and 6 show him ahead. One site has the race tied. It's most likely that Bush's gains are not the result of a 'convention bounce.'"
7:41:33 AM 
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