2004 Presidential Election
Electoral-vote.com: "Five new polls to report today. Not bad, since polls are rarely released on weekends. Four of them are in states that are not competitive: Louisiana, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Utah. Bush was way ahead in all of them, still is, and will win them all handily. For the fifth one, Michigan, see below. Rasmussen is now reporting 7-day rolling averages in some key states. I prefer the standard 3-day snapshot polls, but if a 7-day rolling average poll is more recent than the newest snapshot, it will go in the spreadsheet marked as Rasmussen-7. Here are the results. Michigan: Kerry ahead by 2%; North Carolina: Bush ahead by 13%; Ohio: Kerry ahead by 2%; Pennsylvania: Kerry ahead by 1%. This Michigan poll is newer than the current Zogby poll, so it goes into the spreadsheet."
The Denver Post taks a look at George Bush's changes in position today [September 12, 2004, "Candidates both walk a thin 'flip-flop' line"].
Here's an opinion piece about presidential voting trends in Colorado from the Denver Post [September 12, 2004, "Red, blue, purple and pink states"]. From the article, "Colorado has been amazingly consistent in its presidential voting behavior over the years. A generally Republican state solidly located in the Rocky Mountain portion of the Republican "L," Colorado tends to vote for Democratic candidates for president only when a strong Democratic tide is sweeping across the nation. Thus, Colorado voted Democratic for president only twice in the past 50 years. The first time was in 1964, when Democratic President Lyndon Johnson swept the nation against arch-conservative Republican Barry Goldwater. The second time was in 1992, when Reform Party candidate Ross Perot split the Republican vote in Colorado and Democrat Bill Clinton was able to defeat incumbent Republican President George H.W. Bush."
Taegan Goddard: "New polls. 'President Bush's post-convention bounce in state and national polls has left Democratic challenger John F. Kerry with a smaller battlefield upon which to contest the presidential election and a potentially more difficult route to an electoral college victory than his advisers envisioned a few months ago,' the Washington Post reports. Here are the latest national polls: Time - Bush 50%, Kerry 39%; Newsweek: Bush 49%, Kerry 43%. Here are the latest Electoral Vote tallies (270 needed to win): Electoral Vote Predictor - Kerry 273, Bush 233; Intrade State Futures Bush 274, Kerry 254. Here are the latest state polls: Pennsylvania- Kerry 49%, Bush 47% (Survey USA); Missouri - Bush 48%, Kerry 46% (Survey USA); Kansas - Bush 60%, Kerry 35% (Survey USA); Indiana - Bush 60%, Kerry 36% (Survey USA); Kentucky - Bush 56%, Kerry 39% (Survey USA); North Carolina - Bush 55%, Kerry 42% (Rasmussen)."
8:19:20 AM 
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