Much has been written and is being written about the risk of provoking the Muslim world.
But isn't the Muslim world already provoked?
Many seek to find the roots of terror in poverty etc. If only we worked harder to relieve poverty in the world, we would have less terror school of thought..
But haven't most of the acts of international terror in the last 30 years originated from the Muslim world?
What is the trajectory for this movement? Was it diminishing prior to the last year or getting steeper? Can such a movement be appeased or corrected by the west somehow?
When we seek to answer this question we need to look at a core idea. This is the importance of the concept of the "Other" which is central to much of Islamic culture. It has its roots in Tribal life and is an important tenet that we all share. We all fear the Other but in the secular west we have told ourselves that this is no longer acceptable. But it seems that in much of the Muslim world the Other is the paramount way of escaping self responsibility for poverty and for oppression.
The "Other" enables you to externalize all your problems. The Other demands that you externalize your problems. So if you were a Palestinian who was expelled from Kuwait after the 1991 war - you can only blame Israel or the US. As a Saudi, not from the Royal family, you have to explain your exclusion from the gravy train by blaming Israel and the US. As an unemployed Egyptian or Algerian it is easier for you to blame the west or to seek redemption in a fundamentalist regime.
Can this movement be appeased? When you see how deeply rooted this need to blame the Other is and how terrible are the life circumstances for many Muslim states it is hard to see how any form of appeasement could work. How will life in Egypt play out? How will life in Saudi Arabia turn out? Will Algeria become a fundamentalist state? What will happen in Indonesia in the next 20 years? There are titanic forces building in Muslim states that will have to be expressed. I can think of little that would head these forces off.
What are the risks? Many hope that we are not living through an age of Clash of Civilizations. But the reality is that there are two World religions today. A secular, protestant based religion of economic progress and a Fundamental interpretation of Islam.
I think that it is is naive not to acknowledge that these forces exist, that they will increase even if we had not intervened in Iraq and that these forces will dominate our generation.
2:43:43 PM
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