Wired has a nice interview with Marc Andreessen who co-created the Mosaic web browser - precursor to just about every current browser out there from IE to Mozilla.
What struck me was his predictions on where and when technology will be going. Marc says:
"Any new technology tends to go through a 25-year adoption cycle.
I look at what happened from 1975 to 1985, the first 10 years of the PC adoption cycle. There was huge over-investment in the early 1980s. In the late '80s there was a huge crash, and the real build-out was from 1990 to 2000.
With the Internet, we're really 10 years into what will ultimately look like a 25-year cycle from invention to full implementation."
Whew, that puts us at 2025. What will happen between now and then?
[via Wired News]
3:43:04 PM
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