2004 Presidential Election
Vice President Cheney and Senator Edwards get some time together tomorrow night. Here's a preview from the Denver Post [October 4, 2004, "VP debate carries unusual weight"]. From the article, "Following what Republicans acknowledge was President Bush's faltering performance in his televised encounter with Democratic nominee John Kerry, GOP strategists said Cheney's aim is to return public attention to the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks and the administration's broader handling of the terrorism threat, and away from what they called a 'second-guessing' debate over the decision to invade Iraq...Kerry's campaign aides are hoping his running mate, North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, will summon his skills as a trial lawyer Tuesday night at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland to cast Cheney as the architect of the administration's worst policy judgments, as well as a symbol of corporate excess due to his former position as chief executive of Halliburton, which has faced accusations of improper billing in Iraq contracts. Vice presidential debates historically have not been consequential in presidential contests, but strategists with both parties say this one could be an exception."
A new CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll shows Senator Kerry and President Bush in a dead heat statistically. From the CNN article, "The poll showed Kerry and Bush tied at 49 percent each among likely voters interviewed. Among registered voters Bush had 49 percent and Kerry 47 percent. Independent candidate Ralph Nader was favored by 1 percent in each group." Thanks to Matthew Gross for the link.
Gross also has the text of John Eisenhower's endorsement of John Kerry.
Update: Electoral-vote.com: "Today the site undergoes its first major change in methodology since its inception. Up until now, the only poll listed in the spreadsheet and the map was the most recent one. Early in the campaign, when polls were months apart, this approach made sense since a June poll was probably a better indicator than the average of the June, April, and February polls. Now with polls coming fast and furious, and the map changing wildly from day to day, I think it makes more sense to average the latest three polls. Why three? Ask your local anthropologist. Three is a magic number in western culture (three bears, three wishes, three chances, etc.)"
Update: Taegan Goddard: "The latest Battleground 2004 tracking poll shows President Bush leading Sen. John Kerry 51% to 44%. This poll, however, was completed before the first presidential debate last week. The new Zogby Poll, conducted after the debate, shows Kerry 'closing in' on Bush. Bush's lead was cut to one percent, 46% to 45%. Here are the most notable of recent state polls: New Jersey - Kerry 50, Bush 42 (Research 2000); Pennsylvania- Kerry 45, Bush 44 (Mason-Dixon); Ohio - Bush 51, Kerry 44 (Columbus Dispatch); Ohio - Bush 48, Kerry 47 (Rasmussen)."
6:11:20 AM 
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