2004 Presidential Election
From the Rocky Mountain News, "Al Gore will headline a rally at Denver's Paramount Theater at 6:30 p.m. Saturday and Dick Cheney will hit Colorado Springs on Monday."
On Monday the person behind Electoral-vote.com will let us know the identity behind the website. I can't wait.
Electoral-vote.com: "Another bumper crop of polls, 36 of them in 17 states to be exact. And as usual, the bottom line is that it is still a statistical tie. In the Zogby tracking polls, Bush has taken a 2% lead in Michigan, although in Rasmussen's tracking poll, Kerry has a 2% lead. Research 2000 give Kerry a 4% lead there. Since Zogby's poll is 4 days ending yesterday, Rasmussen's poll is 7 days ending yesterday, and Research 2000's poll is 3 days ending Wednesday, Zogby has the most recent middle date and goes in the spreadsheet."
"According to Zogby, Pennsylvania is now a tie at 47% each. Strategic Vision (R) also says it is a tie, but Quinnipiac puts Kerry 1% ahead and Rasmussen puts Kerry 3% ahead. Remember that Zogby saying PA is a tie means the pollster is predicting that there is a 95% chance that the true score for each candidate falls in the range 43% to 51%, no more and no less. All the battleground states are statistical ties. A couple of percent lead means nothing. According to Zogby, Kerry has increased his lead in Ohio to 3%, but that also means nothing. Turnout will determine who wins."
"Zogby now puts Kerry ahead in Iowa, but Strategic Vision (R) and ARG have it the other way slightly. Again, a statistical tie."
"Many readers have noticed that because Zogby gets his numbers out the door faster than anyone, all the battleground states contain just Zogby numbers. While I have faith in Zogby, I also have faith in ARG, Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, and some (but not all) of the others. During the weekend I will produce yet more software :-( to make a map averaging recent polls, in addition to keeping the most-recent-poll-wins map."
"I have decided to come out of the closet before the election. Be sure to come back Monday. Some of you will be quite surprised, I can assure you."
Andrew Sullivan: "Kerry in Florida."
Lawrence Lessig: "It is no surprise to readers of this blog that I would endorse John Kerry for President."
Doc Searls is pointing to this website Internet Veterans for Truth. They have a lot of pro-Kerry video.
7:12:33 AM 
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