2004 Presidential Election
Taegan Goddard: ""Two weeks before Election Day, voters hold a sharply critical view of President Bush's record in office, but they have strong reservations about Senator John Kerry, leaving the race in a tie," according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll. Among registered voters, both candidates each have 46%. Among likely voters, Bush has 47%, with Kerry at 46%. Here are some notable state polls: New Hampshire - Kerry 46, Bush 41 (Suffolk University); Florida - Kerry 50, Bush 49 (Survey USA); Pennsylvania - Kerry 51, Bush 45 (Survey USA); Arkansas - Bush 51, Kerry 46 (Survey USA); North Carolina - Bush 50, Kerry 47 (Survey USA); Colorado - Bush 51, Kerry 45 (Gallup); Minnesota - Bush 47, Kerry 47 (Rasmussen)."
Electoral-vote.com: "Kerry keeps moving up in the electoral college. A new Survey USA poll shows he has now inched ahead of Bush in Florida, although his 1% lead means the state is still a statistical tie. Nevertheless, we now show Kerry with more than the critical 270 votes in the electoral college to win. Perhaps more signficant, though, is the fact that in states where Kerry's lead is at least 5%, he has 228 electoral votes. In states where Bush's lead is at least 5%, he has 183 electoral votes. Clearly the race is still wide open."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "Reuters/Zogby shows the presidential race tied at 45%, with 7% still undecided. TIPP also shows a tie at 45% in a two-man race, but gives Bush a 2 point lead in a three-man race. Rasmussen has Bush leading by just one point, 48% to 47%."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "The NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows the presidential race in a dead heat: Kerry 48%, Bush 48%. The Fox News poll shows a Bush lead: Bush 48%, Kerry 42%. The latest Zogby Interactive Poll shows Bush leading in seven of the 16 battleground states, 'up from the three states he held two weeks ago... But Mr. Bush's leads in several states -- including closely watched Florida -- are tenuous, and rival Sen. John Kerry managed to hang on to big, electoral-vote-rich states including Pennsylvania and Michigan.' Meanwhile, there are new state polls: Ohio - Kerry 47, Bush 47 (Rasmussen); Ohio - Bush 49, Kerry 44 (Fox News); Ohio - Kerry 49, Bush 47 (Survey USA)."
Update: Taegan Goddard: "Here are the latest electoral vote tallies which are updated daily (270 needed to win): Electoral Vote Predictor - Kerry 284, Bush 247; The Hotline - Bush 227, Kerry 214; 2.004k.com - Kerry 289, Bush 232; Slate - Kerry 284, Bush 254; Race 2004 - Kerry 218, Bush 205; MyDD - Kerry 316, Bush 222."
Update: Daily Kos: "New Hampshire - Suffolk Univ. 10/14-17. MOE 4%. (No trend lines.), Kerry 47, Bush 41"
6:56:59 AM 
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