2004 Presidential Election
Dazed and Confused Coverage of the 2004 Presidential Election

 


















































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  Friday, October 15, 2004


2004 Presidential Election

Early voting starts Monday in Colorado. I'm looking for a listing of locations.

Howard Dean was in Colorado yesterday urging voters to vote early, according to the Denver Post [October 15, 2004, "Vote early, Dean urges local Dems"]. From the article, "Voters should not wait until Election Day, said Dean, who is traveling across the country to support Kerry and also candidates backed by Democracy for America, the political action committee that emerged from the ashes of the Dean campaign. He urged people at the rally to start voting Monday, when the state's early-voting period begins. 'It's not enough for you to go out and vote,' he said. 'You'd better drag six or eight friends. And it doesn't start Nov. 2. It starts Monday.'"

The lawsuit over Amendment 36's effective date is attracting more supporters, according to the Rocky Mountain News [October 15, 2004, "Amendment 36 suit brings out lawyers"]. From the article, "Amendment 36 backers and two of Colorado's presidential electors jumped Thursday into a federal lawsuit challenging the measure's effective date. Colorado U.S. District Judge Lewis Babcock scheduled a hearing on the case for Oct. 26 - just a week before the Nov. 2 election. The judge said he first must decide if he has legal jurisdiction over the issue - the contention that making Amendment 36, if it passes, effective on Election Day is unfair. Amendment 36 would change Colorado's constitution to split the state's nine electoral votes for president proportionally, based on the popular vote, rather than winner-takes-all. If passed, if becomes effective immediately."

Electoral-vote.com: "Survey USA ran polls in 14 states and 21 cities to see who won the third debate. Kerry won in NY, NJ, ME, CA, OR,WA, IL, AR, PA, and CO. Bush won in TX, KY, and OK. Florida, as usual, was a tie. Among cities, Kerry won in 8 and Bush won in 12. When we look at cities in swing states, the mix is Kerry won St. Louis, Detroit, Las Vegas, Tucson, and Cleveland. Bush won Phoenix, Cincinnati, Des Moines, and Grand Rapids. When broken down by party, in all 35 areas, the Democrats thought Kerry won and the Republicans thought Bush won."

"Not much change due to the state polls today, although it looks like Arkansas is getting a bit closer. Excepting Florida, I doubt Kerry will win any states in the South though. Florida and the Midwest is where the big action is."

"All in all, the race is much closer than it now appears. If you add up the strong and weak numbers in the legend, you get Kerry at 198 and Bush at 222. If you then award Kerry New Jersey, which nobody except Strategic Vision thinks is even close, the score is Kerry 213, Bush 222. The rest are tossups. Many people have asked me to toss out Strategic Vision, but to stay impartial, I don't want to cherry pick among the pollsters."

Keving Drum takes on the Swiftboat kids. Kick 'em Kevin!

Update: Taegan Goddard: "'America's military service men and women and their families are convinced that the country is going in the right direction, like George W. Bush much more than the civilian population does, support the war in Iraq more strongly and are more positive about the economy,' the National Annenberg Election Survey shows."

"'The Pentagon is making intense efforts to get troops on active duty to vote this year, and 94 percent of the military sample said they intended to vote in the presidential election, compared to 85 percent of the civilian population.'" 85%?

Here are the Voter Turnout numbers from 2000.

Update: Here's a reminder to voters, especially IT types that know about the technology. John Ashcroft's Department of Justice architected a cave in to Microsoft. If you're sitting on the fence this should be one of your major concerns.

Update: Taegan Goddard: "President Bush 'opened a four-point lead' -- 48% to 44% -- on Sen. John Kerry yesterday, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Friday. 'An improvement in Bush's showing among undecideds and a strong response from his base Republican supporters helped fuel the president's rise.' The Rasmussen tracking poll shows Bush leading 49% to 45.5%. The TIPP Tracking Poll shows Bush leading 47% to 44%."

Update: TalkLeft: "Call to Ralph Nader: Leave the race."
6:47:43 AM  
  



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