2004 Presidential Election
Here are some numbers for the Iowa Caucuses from QUAD-CITY TIMES/KWQC-TV6 poll. From the article, "The statewide poll of 400 likely Democratic caucus-goers shows Dean leading with 23 percent followed by Gephardt, a congressman from Missouri, with 18 percent and Kerry, a U.S. senator from Massachusetts, with 15 percent. U.S. Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina received support from 9 percent of respondents. U.S. Rep. Dennis Kucinich drew backing from 4 percent." Undecided leads all of the candidates with 25% so the race is far from over. It is widely assumed that if Gephardt loses Iowa his campaign is over. Kerry really wants to finish second to set the stage for New Hampshire where he has a slight lead over Wesley Clark. If John Kerry loses in New Hampshire and finishes behind Clark he may be out of the race before Super Tuesday. John Edwards and the rest of the pack, including my favorite, Carol Mosely Braun, are not polling well.
Polling Report has the numbers from a recent Newsweek national poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Howard Dean is on top with 20% with Don't Know second at 15%. Wesley Clark and Dick Gephardt both are showing 12%. All this means very little with a margin of error of +-6%.
Turning away from national polls to New Hampshire, where polls mean a bit more (there is no national primary), Howard Dean leads in this Research 2000 poll with 34%. Undecided gets the number two spot with 18% with Wesley Clark and John Kerry virtually in a tie with 14% and 13% respectively.
Thanks to the Daily Kos for the links.
Well now this may change things in Iowa. The Des Moines Register has endorsed John Edwards. Edwards is at 9% in the polls at this time with undecided at 25%. From the editorial, "Until Edwards is given a closer look. The more we watched him, the more we read his speeches and studied his positions, the more we saw him comport himself in debate, the more we learned about his life story, the more our editorial board came to conclude he's a cut above the others. John Edwards is one of those rare, naturally gifted politicians who doesn't need a long record of public service to inspire confidence in his abilities. His life has been one of accomplishing the unexpected, amid flashes of brilliance."
Dian Carmen writes about Wesley Clark's problems appealling to female voters and the issues that are important to Colorado women in her column in today's Denver Post [January 11, 2004, "Gen. Clark's clothes switch is see-through"]. So what are the issues important to the Colorado women Carman talked to before writing her opinion piece? Healthcare, access to reproductive health care, economic equality with men, affordable housing, our (United States) place in the international arena, relations with other countries, our image among the world's people, somebody who will stop this horrible deficit spending, respect, economic justice, peace, and fairness. That ought to be enough for the candidates to pick from.
Last year on this date Elizabeth Schlosser was saying that it would be refreshing to run the City with a women's point of view.
Dave Winer is asking all the candidates to post their ads on the web and send him the links so that he can aggregate them. I'll add that they should post the ads in enough file formats so that Macintosh, Linux, UNIX, and Windows users can all view them. This shows an inclusive attitude. I get put off by a candidate that assumes that I will have a way to run WMP on the computer I use.
Will Parker has set a goal of delivering two Seattle precincts to Howard Dean in the Washington caucuses. That's the spirit Will. Quoting Parker, "As of last Sunday, in honor of Benjamin Franklin and Woody Guthrie, Judy and I formally committed our money, our shoe leather, and our sacred free time to deliver two Seattle precincts to Howard Dean in the February 7th caucuses and in the general election to follow." When all the fundraising, Internet campaigning, dirty tricks, and other assorted political stuff gets sorted out, elections still come down to getting voters to the polls (or getting them to send in their mail ballots), and in some states getting them to attend party caucuses.
If you're a Colorado voter travelling to Iowa, New Hampshire, New Mexico, or Arizona to work for your candidate of choice I'd love to hear from you. I'll link your weblog or post your e-mail here on Coyote Gulch.
I also welcome contacts from supporters of George Bush. What are you doing in the early stages of the campaign to help the President in November? I'm pretty sure he'll receive the nomination from the Republican party. 
The Daily Kos writes about a Zogby tracking poll for Iowa. Howard Dean and Dick Gephardt are virtually neck and neck with Dean ahead slightly, 25 to 23. What is a tracking poll?
Update: The Brown-Black Presidential Forum in Des Moines is scheduled for 6:00PM MST tonight, MSNBC.
7:57:23 AM 
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